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Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23132419
Sold for ~6.5 buds pure in keys (Split into 2 payments for god knows why) Thanks to snowraptor for pointing this out.
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154377581?time=1413163072 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154377581?time=1413183600 After
Backpack of buyer
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1413097200 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1413183600 After
Total: ~6.5 buds
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23139468
Sold for 70 keys pure
Backpack of seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1413529200 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1413615600 After
Backpack of buyer
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043949066?time=1413529200 Before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043949066?time=1413636269 After
Total: ~4.3 buds at the time of the sale.
This is a really wide range for a hat of this value and I'd say that waiting for a third sale is the best course of action so it can be determined which is the outlier. It's not like either of these sales are particularly old and the hat is up on outpost right now.
Well 4-6 buds is acceptable. That is a 2 buds range. This is a 2.2 buds range, just 0.2 buds larger as a range but the low end and high end of the range is greater, so it is probably acceptable as a borderline range.
New hats tend to have wide ranges. I think that's fine - it shows the variability in sales. Can be narrowed with future sales