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Farm all of those crappy Halloween stuff.
Sold for 1 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23487424
Sold for 1.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23486851
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23486833
Sold for 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23504176
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23483406
Sold for 2.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23502502
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23509810 - 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23506833 - 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23509117 - 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23455268 - 1.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23486732 - 1.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23513897 - 1.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23470151 - 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23425746 - 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23469883 - 3
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.
Your proof support a range of 1.33-2, that'd be better imo. You can't use sellers to set a price, but if those do sell, most of them would be within such range.
With many sellers below 2 ref, 1.33 flat is better.
And yes, I can use sellers to set a price as they can be used to point out outliers.
Yeah, with the 3 being the outlier in my eyes, but it's all right. This is what suggestions are for. ;)
and to think I managed to sell mine for 5 ref on the 31st... I'd provide some evidence but it's an obvious outlier so meh.