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Updating a 3 month old price.
Only two of them exist (as far as we know).
The first one was put up here http://bazaar.tf/trade/890006 4 months ago, with a 10 buds B/O. It was sold for an unknown amount and seems to now be in a collector's backpack (I don't know if it's okay posting links to people's backpacks, but you should be able to find it easily).
The other was up on here : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23332442 with a B/O of 8-9.
It was sold for a Scorching Gatsby, a TW Das Hazmattenthatten and a strange Kritzkrieg.
I could get these confirmation screenshots from the buyer:
http://i.imgur.com/IQ3D5hx.jpg
http://i.imgur.com/GTAupKZ.jpg
Scorching Gatsby: 4 buds (outdated, would be higher) -> valued at 4-4.6
TW Das: 2.8 (outdated, would be lower) -> valued at 2
Strange Krit: 32 keys ~= 2.15 buds as of now
Total is around 8.5 buds, which we can round to 8 after overpay.
__________________
Additional pricing information:
Gatsby :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23519236 : B/O of 4 buds + 10keys pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21879542 : B/O of 6 buds pure, offer of 4 pure, offer of 68 CSGO keys (provided 1:1 conversion to TF2 and using prices from 2 months ago, when the offer was made, that is 3.6 pure), DBD Headsplitter (7.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23233402: B/O of 5 pure, 4 bud 5 keys offer
==> All in all 4 buds was pretty conservative, an updated price would probably be a bit higher (plenty of 4+ pure offers). We'll value it at a rough, even, 4.5.
Das :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23365896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23489524
2 buds buyout on both, rather recent trades (week or less).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20189340 seems to have sold for a KaW Maddendoktor and possibly sweets (no written offer).
edit: after talking to the guy on that last trade, the final trade was "terrorwatt hazzmatt + p.sign ze goggles + a horace and a bud" -> "a sormy hazzmatten + KaW madden"
Outdated hats need a mini suggestion
I updated the main post, I hope that's sufficient.
What exactly are you basing your price on?
You couldnt identify the first sale, and the second sale, is full of outdateds. Provide minis?
Updated for the Gatsby and the Das. The collector from the first trade isn't accepting my friend request, and the trade itself happened too long ago to be able to realistically identify a price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20275620 This was the first sale btw, Sold for a OF BOA (8-9) But Outdated, needs a mini lol
And minis are based on sales, might wanna fix that. All you have are current trade b/os, not sales
Ah, yes. Thank you. It's an old one though.
I included the B/O for the gatsby but haven't based myself off them, only offers. The B/Os on the Das allow us to conclude that 2.8 is too high, even if it doesn't give us a precise idea of the price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22762650 - b/o of 7.5 for almost 3 weeks. It looks like it sold for 7 pure? or a GE tyrants which wouldn't be more than 7.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21876770 - duped burning tricorne + 1 buds (tricorne is ~6 it seems - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22765159)
That's already two sales that are under 8. 7-8 might work