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Another suggestion, with more sales to prove a smaller range.
Sold for 70 spellbook magazines (worth 0.66-1 refined each at the time, rounded to 0.88 ref, keys being 9 ref) + 3 keys -- 6.84 keys * 0.9 = 6.16 (rounded to 6 keys) + 3 = 9 keys http://i.imgur.com/rgCdbjl.png - Counting as an outlier. http://i.imgur.com/aphDQnB.png
Sold for an Australium Frontier Justice - 14*0.9 = 12.6 keys rounded to 13 keys http://i.imgur.com/B1Il9kp.png http://i.imgur.com/XSdAz5C.png
Sold for 12 keys pure http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23457221
Sold for 11 select reserve crates (1k x 11 * 0.9 = 9.9 keys, rounded to 10) http://i.imgur.com/mEXgXFW.png
Just a suggestion, when you have screenshot's of the trade, you should try to get a picture with the effect of all Unusual hats as well.
Just an opinion, but I don't think I would ever take ~70 spellbook magazine's for my unusual, but that's just me.
Added the images.
Effect is http://i.imgur.com/ANja9P6.png (Steaming obviously) for the crate sale (my own trade).
Was just a suggestion, because if it were a higher tier hat(mainly the effect, not hat), people would request that picture.