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4th time
Looks like someone overpaid.
Sold #1:
Sold for a bud and 2.19 keys in sweets
No outpost trade
Backpack After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074014395?time=1415520000
Backpack Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074014395?time=1415433600
Sold #2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/377247
Sold for a bud and some cosmetics totalling to about 1.4 after overpay (thanks Pie Creepin Round Here)
Backpack After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044986906?time=1415433600
Backpack Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044986906?time=1414825200
Oops, forgot to mention there was also 10 keys involved in sale #1
actually my friend bought one yesterday for ~4 buds (im not sure).
ah, and btw.. a halloween limited effect would never be less than steaming or memory leak, as its a pretty expensive effect on every hat that can have it
here are the proofs:
before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528?time=1415520000
after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528?time=1415606400
(the #11 hat and the unusual human cannonball was another trade, it was not a payment for the oiled boy)
That's the outlier, your friend overpaid a ton.
you cant say that he overpayed... if you say that he overpayed, i can say that the "proof" you posted was someone being scammed... and btw.. there is only one hat, if my friend says that its idk.. 3 buds, it WILL be 3 buds.. because no one can buy from other guy...
You don't understand how an economy works. This hat has been sold twice for prices in my range, and it sold once for 4.1 buds, which is the outlier. And it won't be 3 buds, because nobody will buy it at 3 buds.
my friend did.... and btw... if someone paid more than your price means that your price is not exactly right... and as i said.. what would change put the price as 1.7 buds if he WILL NOT SELL IT FOR 1.7 BUDS?????
No one will buy his hat because it is overpriced and nobody will want it
Thing is, there have been other sales. If it would be the only sale in 3 months, it can be suggested for his price.
"Looks like someone overpaid."
as i answered the owner's of the suggestion, you as much can say that he overpayed as i can say that the first one (or whatever) who sold got scammed... did you ever see a hat that the steaming effect is cheaper than a "kinda" good tier halloween effect
Other effect prices have nothing to do with it
so why is burning "aways" the most expensive hat? the other effect actually have to do with it....
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Dread%20Knot
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Magnificent%20Mongolian
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Bombing%20Run
And countless others, clearly you know little about how hats are priced
man.. thats why i said "aways"... even when its not the most expensive... its a god tier effect.. so you will never see a fucking burning flames cheaper than a steaming or a nuts and bolts... got what i said now or i will have to drawn it down?
Why are you talking about Steaming and Nuts n' Bolts prices now? The effect is Poisoned Shadows
i know what is the effect... what im saying is that the other effects prices really does changes it price... why are you trying to put a price for poisoned shadows... as there are no hat with the burning effects cheaper than a purple effect (or a lot others) (if there is a purple confetti more expensive than a burning flames its for sure exception) there arent any poisoned shadows cheaper than steaming...
it aways follows a pattern (for sure there are exceptions)
And this is the exception. Your friend made the mistake of buying an unpriced hat and not checking previous sales.
actually the old owners didnt check the pattern and sold for too cheap.... only because dumb people sold it it will dirt the hat's value... the first owners sold for a quicksell because it is not easy or fast to sell an unpriced hat for the "real price" (an expensice price because its a good tier effect) and my friend is the only one that realized it and is able to wait some months to sell it for the "real" price... thats the point, they sold for cheaper, and my friend didnt pay more....
You make no sense, those people sold it before your friend bought it. I'm pretty sure that is the real price. Arguing won't change anything
Guys, I bought this unusual for approximately 4 bud (Follow on print screen), and I'll never sell for less than 5 buds !! I talked to the person who sold this unusal for the guy who sold me, he said he had sold this unusual for 3 buds I paid 4 I will sell for at LEAST 5. Currently only looking for higher offers than 7 buds!
PRINT SCREEN: http://s28.postimg.org/nokiz2hjh/print.png
Which again, doesn't mean anything, you overpaid
Sorry man. I know how it feels, I have a 1/1 SBTWC Bonk Leadwear and bought it for 2.7 in unusual, but as there were other sales within last 3 months it's can't be priced that way.
the thing is... they quicksold it... proof that they sold for quicksell:
First owner: Jacques (http://backpack.tf/u/76561198044986906)
UNCRATED IT, (he didnt buy it as you said on you suggestion)
he uncrated it november 1st (2014) and sold it november 8th... THATS NOTHING FOR A UNUSUAL PRICE... OBVIOUSLY A QUICKSELL
Second owner: Immax (http://backpack.tf/u/76561198074014395)
Bought it from Jacques and sold ON THE SAME DAY!!!!! (following backpack.tf stats he had it for pratically 1 hour)(do i have to say its a quicksell???)
Third owner
Bought it from Immax and had it for 2 DAYS....
4th Owner: Luisfg99
have it now and says that he is not selling for less than 5 pure or 7 in unusuals (he will have to hold it for some time)
(the only on the history that is not quickselling)
see that now? thats the problem.. if you post every quicksell that a has get sold as a suggestion, prices would go crazy, as crazy as a poisoned shadows cheaper than a steaming effect as example
Anything that takes over a day to sell is considered a quicksell. And Immax sold his for a bit more than Jacques even though he sold it in an hour. Please stop spamming my suggestion with meaningless "proof" that will never change anything. Plus I never said Jacques bought it
sorry, i misunderstood first owner with first sell... anyway.. 8 days is like nothing for a fresh high tier halloween effect... its a HIGH TIER... no one taht gets it will sell it in one week for the full price... you gotta wait at least a month to sell it... if you are saying that 1 day is considered a quicksell im sure its for normal effects and not a limited halloween effect, thats a lot rarer
Coming from the guy with 4 all time votes and no unusual suggestions, I'm pretty sure I know how these things work more than you do.
with sales at 1.4, 1.7, and 4ish or something, 4 is an outlier
but if one of the 1.4/1.7 sales was a qs, I would suggest wait for current owner to sell his to determine an outlier
i dont really know if i understand you post because my english is not that good... but i think that you agreed with me that this suggestion is not "right", am i right?
And no, he agreed with me that 4 is an outlier
the 1.4 took a week to sell, the 1.7 sold in an hour, and the current owner won't ever sell his because no way is he getting 5 buds
8 days is not a quicksell lol
Oh lel i meant to say not considered a quicksell i just realized that
I'm just going to stop voting on these resuggests....
I am 100% sure I got it this time
If he closes himself it doesn't really matter c;
I only say it because I've upvoted the previous 3... meaning I was wrong on the previous 3 haha
Oh haha ^^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23616983 - offered a scorching bombing run. sold for a smoking hoc + 1 pure ~3.5. Doubt that's an outlier. Impossible to say without more sales, so we'll need to wait. Range is probably low. This is probably closer to ~2-3.