That 2 year old price…

Sale #1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23237849

Roboactive toque for c. bubbles SNS, strange genuine Archimedes, white B.M.O.C, prof. degreaser, 2 craft hats

3.4 buds – 11 keys (Archimedes) – 11 keys (BMOC) - 11 keys (degreaser) = 1.2 buds after overpay

Seems like an outlier

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135256326?time=1413702000 >

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135256326?time=1413788400

Sale #2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21950946

Sold for an anti-freeze counterfeit billycock (buyer originally offered a max if they added some)

2.65 * 0.9 = 2.4 buds after overpay

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051888880?time=1409727600 >

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051888880?time=1409814000

Unsolds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23260668 - 2 buds, for 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23633993 - (duped) 2 buds

Roboactive Toque Mini

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23343150

Sold for a steaming executioner (stupid trade imo, what whatever)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135256326?time=1414220400 >

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135256326?time=1414306800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23329124 - previously had a b/o of a max head + “a little”, so 3.4?

Gonna call it 3.4 since this sale is an outlier anyway (being capped at 3.4 regardless of the value of the exe), there’s no point in doing the full mini

Pro. Strange Degreaser Mini

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Degreaser

Sales all over the place, $30 seems a reasonable middle ground though

$30.00 * 0.85 = $25.5 = ~11 keys

Strange genuine Archimedes mini

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23226092 - Seller was “quickselling” for 11 keys, gonna call it that, seems reasonable given that the genuine Archimedes is a lot more expensive than the unique one

Given the sale at 2.4, and the b/o at 2 for a couple weeks, 2 – 2.4 seems like a reasonable range for this hat