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These month recent sales
Sale #1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23573192 - 6 buds + 5 keys = 6.3 buds
Seller's BP
before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036511368?time=1415952000
after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036511368
Buyer's BP
before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055650144?time=1415692800
after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055650144
Sale #2 - 98 keys (6.3 buds)
Seller's BP
before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1415865600
after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1415952000
Buyer's BP
before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063181093?time=1415692800
after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063181093?time=1415952000
(MODEST) Item History: http://backpack.tf/item/399063485
Sold for: Phosphorous Stout Shako > backpack.tf: 2.8–3.3 buds (490.95 ref, 47.28 keys, $98.19) + Eerie Orbiting Fire Samur-Eye > backpack.tf: 4.8–5 buds (788.74 ref, 75.95 keys, $157.75) + 1 bud
Seller's
Backpack Before : http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044525602?time=1415952000
Outpost: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23741754 (sold for Miami Nights Brotherhood of Arms ????)
Buyer´s
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060671493?time=1416038400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060671493?time=1416124800
This is more than 6.3 buds
these unusuals are outdated. phosphorous shako (3 months old price) and eerie samureye (5 months old price).
and that sale happened today
just because 2/10 ratio get the hat for cheap doesnt mean that others havent paid high amounts for it. i have paid 7.8 for mine (mix) a day ago. Most likely others have paid more close to my price compared to 6 buds.
If you could provide proof of your sale and claims of other sales, please do so.
did some mod actually saw this?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23176205 - wow. offered here + 7 buds for the burning gutten. Same gutten + 11 buds was sold for a duped beams beak. Both sales are huge outliers by a guy who seems to overpay like crazy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23509261 - sold in a day for 6 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23372651 - duped searing modest + SF medigun ~7.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23672083 - this is the sale for the outdated hats, but the b/o was 7. sale wouldn't be valued more than that even though it was probably more than that in unusuals
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23904036 - power surge anger + vivid cone + aussie ax. probably 7+
The duped searing modest sold for more than 6 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23729152 - so we can take it close to the same value as the clean one
I would give this a wider, more conservative range of 6.3-7.5.