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New suggestion with fixed range. Again, thanks to http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198071652927/
Anti-Freeze Killer Exclusive
Anything marked red indicates an unusual I've had to do a mini-suggestion for and green indicates the total sale value calculation. Any unusuals or items less than 5% of the total sale value I have NOT done mini-suggestions for, due to massive rounding.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027097747?time=1414479600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23334988 - sold for GE TC + GE Bone Dome + PE Beak + Ghosts Modest + PE Thirst Blood + GE Thirst Blood + P. Surge Connoiseur's Cap (unpriced)
TC: 24.5 * 0.9 = ~22
Dome: 4.75 * 0.9 = ~4.3
Beak: 10.5 * 0.9 = ~9.5
Modest: 10.25 * 0.9 = ~9.2
PE Thirst: 6.5 * 0.9 = ~5.9
GE Thirst: 6.5 * 0.9 = ~5.9
Connoiseur: 5 * 0.9 = ~4.5
REVISED total sale value = 22 + 4.3 + 9.5 + 9.2 + 5.9 + 5.9 + 4.5 = 61.3 buds, rounding to 60.
Dome:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23644981 - sold for SFB Tree (unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23539154 - sold for DBD Headsplitter (7.5 * 0.9 = ~6.8)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23144879 - sold for Phos. Pillar (unpriced, B/O was 7)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23039706 - sold for Searing Tin Gallon + duped PE Beret + TF Logo Thirst Blood (B/O was 5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23026110 - sold for Ghosts Thirst Blood
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23021367 - sold for DBD Cannonball (5 * 0.9 = ~4.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22931440 - unclear
Taking 4.5-5
Beak:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23190377 - sold for T-Watt TC (had B/O of 11)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23396176 - B/O of 10, 2 weeks
Taking 10-11[/i]
Connoiseur:
There are no recent sales. Sadface.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23396176 - B/O of 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23505293 - looking for offers
I have no choice but to take 5.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047396435?time=1415260800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23280993 - sold with RA Bonk Boy for duped CM Braniac* (25) + duped Heart Bonk Boy (10) + '72 Battin a Thousand* (2) + Stormy Cosa (2.05) + Sparkle Luger* (27) + Scorching Thirst Blood (9) + Ooze Texas Tin Gallon (unpriced)
RA Bonk: 12.1 * 0.9 = ~10.9
Brainiac: 23.2 * 0.9 = ~20.9
Heart Bonk: 9 * 0.9 = ~8.1
BaT: 2 * 0.9 = ~1.8
Cosa: 2.05 * 0.9 = ~1.8
Luger: 18 * 0.9 = ~16.2
Thirst: 9 * 0.9 = ~8.1
Texas: 4 * 0.9 = ~3.6
Total sale value = (20.9 + 8.1 + 1.8 + 1.8 + 16.2 + 8.1 + 3.6) - 10.9 = 60.3 - 10.9 = 49.4 = ~50 buds
RA Bonk:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072442949?time=1415692800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23605249 - sold for Bonzo Pomade + Mega Strike Battin' A Thousand
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045585541?time=1412924400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22803034 - sold for clean Secret Tyrolean (10.5 * 0.9 = ~9.5) + 2 buds + 10 keys (buds were 16.75 = 0.6) = ~12.1
Taking 12.1.
Tyrolean:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025685573?time=1415779200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23563993 - sold for V. Max (12.75 * 0.9 = ~11.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033526061?time=1414738800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23396111 - sold for duped HOUWAR (10.5 * 0.9 = ~9.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23232374 - unclear (bunch of craft #71s?)
Taking 9.5 - 11.5
Brainiac:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23464074 - sold for $330 (330 / 27 (bud value in USD) = 12.2) + clean HOUWAR (11) = 23.2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065713150?time=1414134000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23101723 - sold for duped Burning Ballcap
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22860296 - sold for scorching Thirst Blood (outlier)
Taking 23.2
Heart Bonk:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092368395?time=1415779200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23243634 - sold for KaW TC (14 * 0.9 = ~12.6, JUST outdated)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21808672 - unclear (GE Baker involved + CS:GO stuff? Had B/O of 8)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048679107?time=1414825200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23090803 - sold for C9 BoA (11 * 0.9 = 9.9, outdated, using B/O of 10)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091832482?time=1413010800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23090177 - sold for PE Company Man (10 * 0.9 = 9, outdated)
Kaw TC seems like an outlier - taking 8 - 10 as it seems like the most common trading point
Luger:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973715057?time=1415347200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23590763 - sold for 18 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23471112 - private bp (was willing to take 18 though)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002876804?time=1414825200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23468171 - sold for duped Burning Modest (19.5 * 0.8 = ~15.6)
Taking 18 here.
Texas:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044005070?time=1414652400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23421643 - sold for MN Bonk Boy (4.4 * 0.9 = ~4)
Taking 4.
MN Bonk:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23516826 - looking for ~5 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22744225 - sold for MN Yellow Belt (4.9 * 0.9 = ~4.4)
Taking 4.4.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23669407 - sold for Secret Tipped Lid (unpriced, KE seller added a little)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061374527?time=1415433600 - sold with 141 keys (buds were 15.75 = 9 buds) + 15 buds for Burning Dread
Burning Dread is currently valued at 85, 85 - 24 = 61, fits in the range.
Nice first suggestion
Proof checks out, upgoat
You shouldnt judge a price of a hat by its b/o. In this case its the Power Surge Cap. Your basing it on 5 buds due to its b.o,
http://backpack.tf/unusuals/Connoisseur%27s%20Cap
ur pricing it higher than most mid-high tier 1st gen effects e.g PE, GE, Ghosts. You should try find the last past sale, as it would be much more accurate than a b/o...
If you did it correctly, I estimate the ke's high end to be around 57~58 (after overpay).
other than that its good.
There are multiple sales in the duped hat thread of the luger at 18-20 in pure. Shouldn't be taken as less than 18. You have it valued here as 16 in pure (after overpay) which is probably too low given how fast it sells at 18 even in pure. Even with that, this would be ~51. And the duped moon brainiac value is probably generous. So I think the broad range of ~50-60 is fine.