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Meh.
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23613918 - QS for 1 bud.
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23393794 - Sold for a '72 Taunt: Battin' a Thousand (2*0.9 = 1.8 buds) (Outlier)
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23478562 - 1.2 buds (2 weeks)
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.
1.2 seller is duped
Hat's less than 3 buds, doesn't matter.
Still people tend to ask/sell for less than normal range since most people will go for a clean one for same price. Tbh. i dont like dropping price of a hat based on duped BO. This looks like one of those "mini quicksales" and those can take same amount of time as regular sales.
'Mini-quicksale' is perfect evidence that an item needs a drop.
If you actually want to counter-proof this, I suggest you find some sales.