Suggestion: Something Burning This Way Comes Carouser's Capotain at 54.9–71.68 keys

Price Suggestion

~50 keys

sbtwc

78 votes up

24 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 24 Nov 14 19:37:32 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

http://gyazo.com/abb2ce8b0f205476891cdd799bc74764

Those that downvote my suggestions, would you mind leaving a comment explaining why? "I don't mind dying, but I would like to know how I died."

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Sold for for Sulphurous DeGroot (3.6 buds) + 5 keys in sweets.

http://gyazo.com/9824873e654b2f3949ffe9740073c4bd

3.6 *.9 + .4 = 3.64

Rounded to 3.6 buds

Backpack of seller before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077969288?time=1416276243

Backpack of seller after:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077969288?time=1416470400

Sold for duped Stormy 13th Hour Sultan (4.6 buds)+ white Bruiser's Bandanna (1.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23810374

Backpack of buyer before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120807888?time=1416556800

Backpack of buyer after:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120807888?time=1416729600

4.6 + .1 = 4.7 buds

Mini on duped Sultan:

(clean 13th Sultan = 5 buds, outdated price. Lowest buyouts are 5.5 buds on Outpost)

Sold for Anti-Freeze Hermes (5.1 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23185746

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21769419 (check comments)

http://i.imgur.com/N6uylYF.jpg

Anti-Freeze Hermes has a range of 5.1 - 6. I felt that it's more appropriate to use the low end of this range.

5.1 * .9 = 4.59 buds

Rounded to 4.6 buds

Feel free to leave your thoughts.

It's more appropriate to use the Hermes low-end... why, exactly?

Because the trade happened before the recent raise in price of the AF Hermes. It was 5.2 buds before.

Also, the range would be 3.6 - 5.4 if we use the high end.

But you're pricing it now. Unless it was -in-date- at 5.2 before the update(in which case you should be using 5.2), that's not a valid reason.

If you think the value is too high on the Sultan, I'd take another look around, maybe add some of the sellers (because it's been handed around loads of times recently.)

Even with the mean price, 5.6 buds, for AF Hermes, the price range would be 3.6 buds to 5 buds. I can resuggest with that range, but I don't think it makes a huge difference.

I'm suggesting the AF hermes sale may be an outlier on the Sultans. It's above both B/Os on the market.

The only way to find out is to check some more sales on it.

I do have another sale. However, that would have valued the Sultan at 5.6 buds after overpay.

That was also why I used the low end of the Hermes. I definitely see your point though, and I'll look into it.

If we dip into some older sales for the sake of proving a point...

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/540cb42ab88d88aa6e8b45f3 There was evidence not long ago for a price of 3-3.5 ish. I doubt it's spiked to 5.5 in a period of 3 months.

Yup, I saw that suggestion. However, there was only 1 proof of that suggestion.

The other sale I was talking about was sale for Smoking Hustler's Hallmark (1.5)+ Disco Beat Down Das Ubersternmann (4.7)

Sultan = Hallmark + Uberstern

Sultan = 1.5 + 4.7

Sultan = 6.2 buds

As I said, this seems like an outlier. However, it should support the proof that the Sultan should remain at its current price.

There are two proofs in that suggestion, read the comments.

Ubermann is outdated, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23838439 buyer from that sale values at ~2.

So that sale is, oh, 3.5.

Anything else? I'll probably just resuggest this with that as mini