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~150 keys
burning
Unusual Attendant Burning Flames
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6 votes down
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Counter to http://backpack.tf/vote/id/547c46f6b88d88b7658b4a50


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23437324

sold for scorching riflemen 12.3 (attendant offered)

seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048754056?time=1416816000

seller after:http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048754056?time=1416988800

Price: 12.3 buds


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23902058

sold with a bud for burning dragonborn (15.6)

0.9*15.6 : 14 ; 14-1 = 13 buds


Other sales:


Outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23407115

sold for smoking law(10!), pe armored authority(5.8!) - sold in a day- not valid


Outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22855230

sold with pe sultan for sunbeams hiveminder

seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029862509?time=1414479600

seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029862509?time=1414393200

Sultan is outdated at 3. If you consider beams hiveminder at 8 as shown from the mini(which itself seems like an outlier), the price seems to be way less. Ignoring this trade.


MINIS


beams hiveminder mini:

only sale that didnt involve scammers, rare hat, not on the market atm

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22284110

sold with cloudy noble(19) for 8 buds, duped scorching chapeau and scorching phantom

buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048120191?time=1411542000

buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048120191?time=1411887600

(11.45+ 10)*0.9 = 19.3

price: 8.3 buds


duped scorching chapeau mini:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23045844

old for c. moon counterfeit billycock, burning beret + 2 buds

buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080796147?time=1412578800

buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080796147?time=1412924400

price(5.7+4.8)*0.9 +2 = 11.45

    Nice work, especially minis. Upvoted.

      Em I didin't get why 3rd sale is an outlier.

      15.8*0.9 = 14.2 which is higher than both other sales and you don't include it because it was 'sold in a day'? So it sells easily in a day for 14.2 and you suggest 12.3-13? It needs more research/sales imo, downboat for now

        That sale isn't 14.2, smoking law isn't 10 anymore, there's an open suggestion for it at 8. It's not a high-end outlier, if anything it's support.

          My bad, took suggestor's word for law's valuation.

          Edit: The sale for attendant was used in law suggestion. but attendant is outdated, eh? There are 2 sales at 9.3 and 10 for law, if we take them as a mini here, we'll get another high-end.

            Well, not including the attendant sale, there is still another sale at 7. Maybe 7-10? Hard to say. That sale value is probably close to 13. Range here is probably okay.