Suggestion: Scorching Flames Das Übersternmann at 147 keys

Price Suggestion

~450 keys

scorch

68 votes up

8 votes down

This suggestion was closed Sun, 07 Dec 14 07:12:50 +0000 by the submitter.

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Scorching Flames Das Ubersternmann

For those wondering how I found the sale - pure, sheer luck.

Da sale:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22982681 - sold for 8 pure + Pro KS Rocket Launcher Kit (1.4, mini below) + Pro KS Sniper Rifle Kit (1.1, mini below)

Total value = 8 + (1.4 * 0.9 = ~1.3) + (1.1 * 0.9 = ~1) = 10.3, rounding to 10.5 because it looks cute.

Rocket launcher kit mini:

Sales over the past few days in SCM:

$39.82

$50.02

$44.00

$42.55

$44.09

$46.00

$40.57

$45.00

$69.85

$63.25

$43.80

The sales seem to be following the same trend for the next few days so we're probably not going to see too much of a change in value if we include any more sales

Total value = 528.95 / 11 = 48.0863

48.0863 / 2.49 (keys on SCM currently) = 19.3118

19.3118 / 13.5 (open suggestion at that) = 1.43 buds = ~1.4

Sniper rifle kit mini:

SCM sales, once more:

$38.97

$31.29

$39.03

$42.66

$38.05

$40.01

$23.00

$43.22

$39.10

$43.03

Total value = 421.58 / 11 = 38.3255

39.3255 / 2.49 = 15.3917

15.3917 / 13.5 = 1.14 buds = ~1.1

Nice work man, dang! Upvote:)

Not quite sure here^^. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22982681 (~2 months ago) write " Quick-sell! --- Quick-sell! " B/O -12

But there is another sale http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22327144 (~2+ months ago) " SOLD ... FOR CLOUDY MOON PYROMANCER+MAX HEAD "

I was unsure about it too, but it wasn't an instant sale and it seems about right when you compare it to other effects.

The second sale will be exactly 3 months old tomorrow, I don't think that should be used. Pyromancer is outdated but the sale's at least 16, and the "quicksell" at 12 wasn't exactly instant either. Also, Burning is ~13, and seeing as the Pyromancer sale went to a collector, it's possible there was major overpay just because of that.

Actually, just did a bit of digging: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22515208 - no B/O, didn't sell

the C/O was a GE Beak (~10?) + DBD Antlers (14) which would be ~22ish overpay. Guess the 10.5 sale is an outlier after all. I'll do a mini for the Pyromancer's then resuggest :D

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059639546?time=1410073200 - moon mancer + max 15+

That sale was sept 8; this is oct 6. Sales are pretty close to each other and one is 10.5, other is 15+. I think we need to wait on newer sales. As fast as that went for pure, looks like it might be a true quicksell

Both owners don't appear to have any intention of selling, though. I found a couple of sales for the mancer, looks like it's 11.5 - 12.5. That puts the whole sale at 14, which makes a range of 10.5-14, which isn't TOO ugly.

My bad, 10.5 is a quicksell. Anyway, 14 sale went to a collector, and it's basically invalid... yeah, agreed.