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Wanted to try again on the suggestion of this hat of mine.
Sale #1
http://imgur.com/a/YRcEf
DBD Noble + Max Head + MNW taunt:Buy a Life + sweets = Amarathine Titanium Towering Piller of Hats
3.75 + 3 + ~2 + sweets = 8.75-item overpay = ~8.25
Mini Taunt:Buy a Life
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975506437?time=1416816000 (Before)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975506437?time=1416902400 (After)
Sold for a 1st gen hat worth 2.25
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025170115?time=1414652400 (Before)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025170115?time=1414738800 (After)
Planets Luchadore + GBH Dragon Born Helmet + S. Pan + x2 Bills Hats + S. Novelty Mutton Chops and Pipe
~1.7 + ~4.5 + 0.8 + 0.6 + 0.1 = 7.7 - item overpay = ~7.5
Mini Dragon Born
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23533832
"Set Price" of 5 buds, C/O of 3 buds, good offers
Mini Luchadore
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23613808
"Set Price" of 1.8 buds
Small Extra's (B/O's of past owners)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23827255 (no B/O but C/O of ~7 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23421507 (B/O 8 buds from unboxer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23487031 (B/O 10 buds)
You applied your overpay incorrectly.
First sale:
(3.75) + 3 + ~2 in sweets) x 0.9 = 7.8-7.9
Second sale:
(~1.7 + ~4.5 + 0.8 + 0.6 + 0.1) = 6.9
Almost the Luchador is outdated and GBH Dragonborn is unpriced but you address that with the mini sort of. It's the same guy whose selling both hats while there are 6 and one other vendor on OP respectively.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23533832 (your link) sold it to > http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24074940 who is now selling it.
So I think that means your GBH mini is off, which messes with your range.