resuggesting, thanks to Enigma for his sale.

6 months outdated. recent sales:

1. sold for beams noir

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23344209

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23376963

only noir and phantom seem to be involved

~3.8 with overpay

2. same guy sold it for

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392936

scorching pyro beanie ~4 with overpay (see mini)

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beanie mini:

outdated but offered a blizz milkman + 56 keys (around 5 with buds at ~16)

eventually sold for

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066919149?time=1415347200

gbh hoc, 4.3 after overpay, couple of days outdated but not a big deal

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022366239?time=1412146800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022366239?time=1412060400

looks like a bud was added to the beanie for a secret big elfin, also outdated but again around 4.4 after overpay

calling it ~4.4 as a minisuggest, gonna look into it more after this suggest.

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3.http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22987664

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22653503

phantom sold for these 3 (bud, steaming bubble, time warp beret) ~4.2 with overpay

4. sold for blizz charmer's (1.5 after overpay) + max head (3.3) ~4.8 with overpay

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23839436#latest

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chapeau mini:

http://backpack.tf/item/1652886259

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055905004?time=1417852800

sold for blizz hwnn (1.5 after overpay) + white charmers + lime procedure mask + lime maddendoktor, maybe 2 keys worth of sweets there, so ~1.7.

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cut down the other sales from the previous suggestion, the quicksell/scammer trade was unhelpful, as was the duped c9 charmers one since it's pretty much impossible to tell what it should be.