Thanks to aaron for helping with the bud/key pricing. Re-suggesting with some additional sales.

MAJOR SALES

Sale 1: Nov 11

sold for 40 keys+ pro aussie axtinguisher

http://snag.gy/UgK6e.jpg

axe mini: sold it for 2 painted bill's,str. degreaser, 3 keys and 2 keys in refined ~ 14

Price: 54/ 15.5 = 3.5 buds

Sale 2: ~ Nov 20

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23611849

sold for duped smoking stash(3.8!)

Price: 0.9*2.7 = 2.4

Mini for stash : sold for a ge private eye (3)

http://backpack.tf/item/535665929

Price: 0.9* 3 = 2.7

Mini for private eye: only sale i could find for a clean one

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23054829

sold for 3 buds

buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082905907?time=1413097200

SUPPORTING SALES

Sale 1: Oct 8

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22964248

sold for 49 keys

The backpack info from the date of the trade is not available,

but the buyer had a KAW company man a day prior, whichhe no longer has

on 8th. Stands to reason he definitely had the resource to get the

pure he offered.

Price: 49/16.25 = 3 buds

Sale 2: Oct 12

sold for burning topi

buyer before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1413039501

buyer after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1413097200

price: 2.9*0.9 = 2.6

Sale 3: Oct 21

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23170672

sold for miami steel shako(0.9 from mini) + 2 buds

seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1413874800

seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1413788400

Price: 2.9 buds

shako mini:

sold it with 1 bud for a steaming modest scrap

scrap history: http://backpack.tf/item/1655121393

scrap seller before:http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116234350?time=1413702000

scrap seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116234350?time=1413961200

shako seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1413961200

shako seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1414047600

(He then flipped the steaming for flies, whichis why you only see the flies in history)

Price: 2.2*0.9 - 1 = 0.9