16 months outdated. Low-tier effect. 24 in existence.

Lowest sellers/unsolds on OP :

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23774228[/url] 3 weeks at 23 keys (1.7 buds)

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23996473[/url] 1 week at 19 keys (1.4 buds)

#1 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062518326?time=1416297600 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062518326?time=1416556800

Ushanka + tinge Bill's + 3 keys for a NnB SnS (probably offered on so no overpay)

The SnS is outdated -> mini ~ 1.95 buds :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24002394 unsold 1 week at 1.9 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23760543 2 buds offer

x + 7 keys = 1.95 buds -> x = 1.4 buds

#2 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22296016

TW Thirst Blood + Ushanka on DBD War Pig wtf outlier (3.6 buds)

#3 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059806266?time=1413702000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059806266?time=1414134000

Stormy Ushanka -> Bubbling Ushanka + 7.5 keys pure

The stormy one is outdated -> mini ~ 1.15 buds :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22652527 notable offer -> Smoking Cloud crasher (1.8*0.9 = 1.6 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/210628 SS Batter + SS Ushanka for PE Tricorne, then SS Wrap -> making the ushanka at 0.7 and 1.15 buds

Sale of the bubbling Ushanka at 0.6 buds, outlier

#4 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23121294

1 : 1 with an Aces Fruit shoot

Mini on the Fruit Shoot ~ 1.4 buds :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23841583 with sweets for a DP Surgeon (B/O was 1.5 buds so offer can't exceed the B/O)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24098230 Unsold 3 days at 1.3 buds

The Ushanka was probably offered (no trade with it on OP) -> sale at 1.4 buds

#5 sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23145684 B/O 18 keys (1.4 buds) but the hat just disappeared from his bp's history (no keys involved)

#6 sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060787905?time=1414825200 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060787905?time=1414911600

2 different pure sales (71 keys both) happened -> sale of a Vivid Fro + sale of the Ushanka to 2 different people, the histories of the keys aren't well tracable -> sale can't be determined

Support sale (on a duped Ushanka) :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23994776 1 day QS 16 keys (1.2 buds)

Any comments are welcome.