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Meh, I don't really like the look of this cosmetic, there were several other better Demoman Halloween cosmetics that could have been added in this ones place, in my opinion. Anyways, like all 2014 Halloween cosmetics, this is craftable, and pretty much everyone will buy any craft hat at 1.11 at the least, so it doesn't really make sense to have 1 ref in the range, there also aren't any sellers on Outpost for it for less than 1.33, and only 1 at 1.22 on the Classifieds.
Recent sales:
http://prntscr.com/5hcb7r 1.11 ref
Craft hat buyers at 1.11:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23243790
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23413845 (It IS paintable https://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Eyeborg)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24071486
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24129187
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23406067
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24047652
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24076954
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23925604
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23807460
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23813907
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24003091
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23774619
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24096944
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24000811
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24104481
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23788934
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23666906
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23666906
And these are only from the 20 pages that Outpost shows at one time... There are a few scattered buyers at 1.22, but not enough price this at it flat. 1.22 doesn't need proof to stay in the range as it already is in it. With all these buyers, and 1.22 still in the range, 1.11 to 1.22 looks good.
No notable sales?
Not that I could find before your comment, however, after your comment you reminded me that I forgot to check trade.tf recently, which I then found and edited in that 1.11 sale. Thanks :P
Not buying that excuse for no proof at 1.22. Sorry.
Sounds like a lazy excuse to not do some more research.
I don't mean to sound rude, but I checked the whole market, and bookmarked each seller, waited a week, and couldn't find anything, I wouldn't call that lazy, its just a super small market.
I don't think these are craftable, every time I try to craft a halloween hat it says "Cannot find blueprint" or some shit like that.
Actually, I've been having trouble crafting too - it wouldn't let me craft a weapon earlier (which I don't even know why I tried that) so it's probably a bug.
I do believe I added some of those and they always refuse to accept 2014 Halloween items. Guess those are not really reliable proofs.
Might add a couple sellers and buyers.
SELLERS:
1.33 Ref (All unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23557078 (1 month, frequently bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24149671 (1 day)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24070156 (1 week)
Unknown/Offers (Unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23476704 (1 month, no offers)
BUYERS:
1 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23572264 (1 month, 3 sellers, still bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23663537 (1 month, still bumped)
May not be much, but this is what I got. There's still a couple buyers at 1 ref and multiple sellers at 1.33 ref. At this point, I honestly think there needs to be more sellers and buyers to be noted. The fact that sellers are still trying to sell above bp.tf price and getting no success still supports this suggestion, also. So far, everything seems good. I currently see no room for doubt, so I'll upvote.