Suggestion: Strange Winter Woodsman at 2 keys

Price Suggestion

~13.16 ref

143 votes up

24 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Tue, 16 Dec 14 12:52:37 +0000 by Puddilicious.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Guess I should just counter as high-end from other suggestion is based on unsolds.

SCM supports 2 keys as price too.

Credit to Magent for proofs.

Sellers below 3 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24156290 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24147686 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24159580 2 - Has been relisted many times, it just doesn't want to leave me.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24121554 2.4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24154404 2.5

Unsolds at 3 keys +

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24157029 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24131531 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24124693 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24121028 bp.tf price, 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24108795 bp.tf price, 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24065917 6 days

Conclusion: Sales never happen on Outpost at any prices.

Feel free to counter / support my proofs.

sigh...

None of your 2 key sellers are more than a day old. They're weak at best.

They are still common.

Age doesn't matter given how there are many 2-key sellers on the market.

3 sellers is not 'common' when there's 1.5 valid pages on outpost.

For something with 1.5 valid pages, it's already common.

It doesn't even sell at 2 keys on Outpost so what is the point keeping 2.5 in range if it never happens?

You haven't proven it never happens.

Neither have you proven it happens.

Nor do I have to, because I'm dropping conservatively.

This isn't conservative, so you need to.

Even if that's the case, I have 2.5 unsold in your proof (2 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24114406 - sold for 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24119769 - sold for 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24106396 - sold for 2.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24130868 - sold for 3?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24073612 - sold for 3?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24106396 - 3 days old, very old for new items.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24130868 - He QS it to me for 1 key 2 ref and I QS it for 2 keys.

But still younger than the current price and therefore should be considered.

2.5 still sells.

2.5 sold on the day when last accepted suggestion was up, therefore invalid. It was a QS back then and now, it can't even be sold for that much.

It was the day after, don't clutch at straws, it hurts.

You're both still showing 2 keys happens and is the most common trading point. Age of the trade doesn't really matter

This is what I'm talking about.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045725427?time=1418457600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24106396 - sold for S. Law + 1 key

Just a small correction on my part. Probably can be considered an outlier.