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5 month old price
Sold alongside ~3 keys in sweets for Overclocked Team Captain (~6.5) = ~6.3 for CK
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23934059
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031231350?time=1417852800 (I use the same set for my sniper... I feel very creative right now)
Sold for Miami Nights Dread Hood (~5), outlier, trade happened a few days before the price was dropped, ~6.7 by old price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23117243
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071657737?time=1414652400
Sold for Scorching Bombing Run (~2.3 see http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54904500ba8d88d07d8b456b ) + 1 bud = ~3.3... easy outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23954509
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106511423?time=1417680000
Offered on (and sold for) a Burning Coppers Hard Top (~4 buds, over a year old price) + Fresh Brewed Delight (~4.3, 5 moths outdated), outlier since sale is above current price without minis and sellers alone suggest otherwise
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23129875
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22819280 (The "Fresh" they mention)
In summary, a lot of outliers one of which would be very close to the usable sale if you go by the old price before the trade which I won't.
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24022643 - 7.5 buds, 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23874138 - 7 buds, 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23419936 - 7.5 buds, 1 month
I would still use the 5 bud sale tbh. It's better to use a recently update price than a 3 month price (At the time of the sale, the Dread had a 3 month price)
I always go by the most recent price as opposed to what it was worth when the sale happened which is why 6.7 isn't in the range, I only mention it to help validate the sale being an outlier with the new value.
I'm also using this to update the MW Square Dance http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5490e4c8b98d88c2508b45e7 and in that suggestion I have another sale at 6 which because the CK was offered in the relevant trade would make the value 6 flat if I used it here instead so there are other sales above 5 I could bring up, I'm just using them elsewhere.