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First unusual suggestion, so please no hate.
Only 1 on the market, no more to ever be unboxed.
SOLDS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23949174 - 6 buds (sold really quickly)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23779877 - 3.2-4 buds (first owner, underestimated price. Sold really quickly)
UNSOLDS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23961950 - 6 buds (hasnt sold, or even been offered on, in 2 weeks)
All other trades were done off tf2outpost/bazaar/backpack.
At the moment, there haven't been any offers on the current bone dome, although he did offer it for a strange unusual Deep Cover Operator, KAW.
where does 5.5 buds come from?
Nowhere.
Which is a problem.
The 5.5 is the range of 5-6 buds, as 6 buds is what it has sold at, but it hasnt sold for 2 weeks, therefore implying it may be dropping.
Five is coming from nowhere.
There's no proof of the sales, just closed trades with B/Os.
You can't ignore the sale at ~3.5, either.
Well, the 3 price was at the start of halloween, and the guy who unboxed underestimated the price. Then, the 6 buds also sold quickly, but then the next owner is trying to sell at that and hasnt been able to for 2 weeks, therefore implying that it isnt worth that much. Not a single offer has been posted for that hat as well, showing that there isnt any interest for that hat at that price.