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6 month old price, in need of a drop in price.
Any proof that I couldn't find either for or against this would be greatly appreciated. I can tell that this hat is not worth the 3.4-4 buds listed, but sales are a bit scarce so the range may need fixing.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23967491
--Selling for 2 buds, 2 weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24099759'
--Selling for 2 buds, 1 week old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23685564
--Selling for 39 keys for a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23923083
--Sold for 27 keys 2 weeks ago
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046604349?time=1418803200 --- Buyer BP before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046604349?time=1418889600 --- Buyer BP after
Looks like a currency change of 24 keys and 54 ref took place in the buyer's BP. Difficult to pinpoint the exact amount because the user seems to have swapped several other unusuals in the same time period, and the seller's BP has a large gap in history from the 8th to the 19th so I was unable to use it as a reference. The same seller seems to have "sold" an identical hat to this guy (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24188193) who never seems to have had more than a few ref in his BP.
Hardly any recent sales for me to base the price on, and it seems like this hat is in low demand. So I'm suggesting a price drop. Range uses the 2 bud sellers as the low end and the 47 Euro buy offer as a high-end. Figured I would be conservative on that, especially since I can't put an exact price on the confirmed sale.
EDIT:: Reasons behind 47 Euro > 2.8 buds. 47 Euro = 57.54 USD = ~30.5 keys = slightly less than 2.8 buds (valued at 11 keys rounding from tf2finance)