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MLG
About a page or so on outpost.
Unsold at 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24142635 -free paint, badly bumped
Sellers for under 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24248923 -2.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24157674 -2.66
Classifieds
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Outback%20Intellectual&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=0 (x1 at 2.88 ref)
Bear in mind that a lot of these are painted, making a lot of the sellers on the one page invalid for this suggestion.
Hmm, this is tricky. As you said, the 3 ref seller is badly bumped, but the 2.66 ref seller is also pretty badly bumped (last bump 5 days ago). Furthermore, the 2.33 ref seller was created today and unbumped. That, with the small market, makes this really hard to price. I'll watch these trades and see if anything happens.
Thankee.
Oh, btw, I just checked, and the 3 ref seller actually did sell. If you check here: http://backpack.tf/item/1188285996 , you can see that the item moved to a different backpack today, and that the ID under Gyttret matches the ID on the trade. So maybe 3 ref still sells?
It's duped.
link at 2.33 is unbumped