Suggestion: Knifestorm Glengarry Bonnet at 45–67.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~250 keys

knife

129 votes up

80 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 14 Jan 15 16:37:08 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Here we go again

Thanks to d0 who helped me again! You da real MVP

Sales:

1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22978416 sold for a clean Sunbeams Beanie (2.6*0.9)= 2,3

Mini for the Beanie: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23486700 sold for a Searing Plasma Brigade Helmet (2.85*0.9) = 2.56 rounded to 2.6

(Outlier)

2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23158495 sold for a Cloud 9 Swagman's Swatter + 35 keys + Strange Invis Watch, buds were 15.5 keys at the time (2.2*0.9) + 2.3 + (0.2*0.9) = 4.5

Mini for the Cloud 9 Swagman: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23728400 sold for a Kill-a-Watt A Rather Festive Tree (2.4*0.9)=2.16 rounded to 2.2

3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23757206 offered on a Sunbeams Thirst Blood with a Burning Panama so 8.5-4= 4.5 (I asked to d0, and as it was offered overpay is not needed)

4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23842174 I couldn't track the sale, but his B/O was 3 buds pure, so I'll consider it as 3 (d0 helped me on this)

Conclusions:

2.3 seems clearly an outlier, 2 sales at 4.5 and an unknown sale with a B/O of 3, so I'll consider it in the range

Any advice/additional proof is appreciated!

my friend sold sunbeams beanie for 3 earbuds pure like 3 - 4 after he bought

Thanks for the reply, but even if I priced the Beanie as 3, the sale after overpay would have been 2.7, so still an outlier considering the 2 sales at 4.5

he sold it for 3 earbuds PURE so no overpay needed

Wait, on the Beanie there isn't overpay, but I have to apply it on the sale of the Glengarry as the Beanie isn't pure

that true but that depends on who offer to who (sale of the Glengarry)

Dammit, you're right. The seller of the Glengarry told me the Beanie was offered (he's a friend of mine) but as I see here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23099228 he offered on the Beanie. I'll edit this instantly. Thanks for the support!

EDIT ON THE FIRST SALE:

The Glengarry seller told me the Beanie was offered, but here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23099228 I noticed that he offered on the Beanie. So, considering the Beanie as 3 as Deduction prooved, the first sale counts as 3 buds, and perfectly fits in the range

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24487429#latest got an offer of a smissmas caribou on my glen, fits this range perfectly and is out of the current range

Thanks for your support!

so you have sales at 2.6, 4.5, 4.5, and one buyout at 3

also multiple offers on the currently open trade that are equal to or greater than 3

this range seems a bit large, I'd recommend narrowing it down to 4.5 flat

only thing I'm unsure of is here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24487429#latest he says his buyout for the bonnet is 3.5, but I dont know which one he's talking about

Actually I have one sold at 3 (because I found that the Glengarry was offered, and considering the Beanie as 3 as Deduction prooved it's 3 buds flat). I kept 3 in the range because the listing with the B/O of 3 buds was up for more than 3 weeks and it was often bumped, so I have to consider it

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24141622 - PE pickel. b/o was 3.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23818767 - the person in the beams thirst trade took it as 3 in value when he purchased it: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23818767

I mean, that's sales at 2.3, 3, 3.5 (took 3 weeks), and 4.5. To me, 2.3 and 4.5 are outliers on either end.

EDIT: Eh, since the beanie sells for 3 in pure easily, I guess that's 3, 3, 3.5, and 4.5. Still think 4.5 is the outlier here, but since it was a mostly pure sale.. I'll go with the votes.