Counter? The other suggestion is 6 days old... I'm not even using the same proof.

Classifieds:

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Coldsnap%20Cap&quality=11&tradable=1&craftable=1

1 x 1.2 keys

3 x 1.3 keys

2 x 1.6 keys

Sellers at 1.3 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24307881

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24276622

Sellers at 1.5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24298317

Sellers at 1.6 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24259244

Sellers at 1.8

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24174098 - poorly bumped

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24247409 - unbumped

Unsolds at 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24233019

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24234274

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24287519

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24254187

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24272873

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24282417

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24169757

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24142423

EDIT: Why countering the other suggestion?

Easy. There is no proof of 1.4 keys and both sellers at 1.8 keys are poorly bumped. 1.3 - 1.6 seems like a better price.