Less than 2 pages on autpost, 13+ pages that are painted...

Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24246335 - 17 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24393260 - 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24391795 - 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24390815 - 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24367635 - 1.1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24360809 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24240671 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24245256 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24380795 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24245256 - 1.2 Sold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24356352 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24218033 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24166512 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24383390 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24292243 - 1.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24388006 - 1.2 (painted 216)

Unsolds at 1.3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24354598 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24352574 - 2 days (Adequately bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24350697 - 2 days (Adequately bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24337347 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24206314 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24290518 - 1 week

Classifieds

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=The%20Essential%20Accessories&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

x2 1 key

x2 1.1 key

x10 1.2 key (1 painted team spirit, 1 painted australium gold)

Community Market

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/The%20Essential%20Accessories - Numerous sales and sellers under 1.3 keys, supporting the drop.

Conclusion: Plenty sellers under 1.3 keys, and 1.3 isn't happening, or at least not very commonly + scarce amount of 1.3 sellers.