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Themed'Severely loved due to Effect and hat correlationSale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23828079 Sold for 4 buds pure
X = 4
Proof of Sale http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/8542-report-a-single-sale-the-forum-version/page-20#entry266766
Warmer http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3216889988,644,5
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24015039 Sold for 4 buds pure
X = 4
Warmer http://backpack.tf/item/1504794780
Before Sale http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056893301?time=1417852800
After Sale http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056893301?time=1417939200
Outlier Corner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20903223 Sold for a Max, but slightly over 3 months old now. Only putting this here to prove 3 is an outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23051964 Sold for 3 buds
Why is 3 an outlier?
Offers are higher than 3 respectively
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24229076 3.9 collecting rejected, not really valid though coz collecting = invalid
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12944674 Stormy Hive Minder + 1.3 = 3
Stormy Hive Minder + Logo Respite (Outdated however)
Twatt Wraith (Outdated)
Smoking rack + Pro SF Launcher <- definitely over 3.5-4 (And an ew sale I am not touching xD)
Holy Grail Party Trick + 2, Taunt is priced at 3 (By me <3), So this offer is well over 3, somewhere near 4.7
Have my upvote, you got good proof.