Sellers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24272772 - 15 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24406939 - 16 refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24281696 - 13 refined + unique noh mercy (16 refined)

Unsolds at current price

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24378708 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24366181 - 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24362291 - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24348712 - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24337432 - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24342238 - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24315497 - 6 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24269147 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24206578 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24250314 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24295533 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24230256 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24139273 - 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23997532 - 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23987042 - 4 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23799111 - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23485855 - 2 months

Classifieds

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Noh%20Mercy&quality=1&tradable=1&craftable=1

x1 16 refined

Conclusion: Less than 2 pages on outpost, the 15 refined seller has gone unsold for over 1 week, and there are 2 sellers at 16 refined