Suggestion: Death at Dusk Dread Knot at 30 keys

Price Suggestion

Death at Dusk Dread Knot

Submitted Fri, 02 Jan 15 22:52:33 +0000 by Mindacos

90.31%

n/a

30 keys

~88 keys

d@d

317 votes up

34 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 18 Jan 15 00:24:47 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

~~lol the first owner tried to manipulate this~~

Sold for 2 Buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064718125?time=1418687074 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064718125?time=1418889600

Sold to a collector for 4 Buds + ~16 Keys in Sweets(Outlier)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051509552?time=1419889012 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051509552?time=1419926400

Made the ~5 Bud sale an outlier because Devilgear is known for overpaying, an example would be:

He bought the amaranthine knot for 3 Buds: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54679eebb88d88dd488b49cf

But this guy hasn't been able to sell his for 2 Buds for months: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24288637

Going with the low end sale, 2 buds should be fine.

Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.

Are you completely negating one of the two sells because it goes against your price? It can't be an ignored "outlier" when it's 50% of the sales.

As I said, Devilgear is known for overpaying as he's a collector. He paid 3 buds for a hat that can't currently sell for ~2 Buds(Amaranthine Dread Knot)

And would a 2-5 Bud range really work? You tell me. I've seen huge ranges before sure, but for a low value hat it's way too big.

To add: the first owner of this Knot tried to make a proof-less suggestion at 3 buds, which would mean that he wouldn't expect to sell it at all for 5 Buds.

I do agree that he did hilarious overpay, but it's still a valid sale. Accounting for 10% overpay, I should think it would be 2-4.5 buds. Just my two cents.

It would still be 2-5 with overpay, as only the sweets need to have overpay applied on. Earbuds are never applied overpay on, unless maybe if they're gifted.

Though if we want to get technical, it would be 2-4.9. Not a huge difference either way.

4 buds is a god send

The Dread Knot is your best friend if you're like me- Care about the effect, not so much about the hat.

Sales are discrepant. This should be left unpriced. Will give you a few hours to close.