Jesus fucking christ.

Trade.tf price currently @ 4~5 http://www.trade.tf/price/1141/6/None

Classifieds @ the time of posting

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Festive%20Shotgun&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

1x 4

1x 4.11

2x 4.22

3x 4.33

17x 4.66

Rest are 5 or above

Unsold @ 5.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24436175 (young, unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24430967 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24437313 (young, unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24414523

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24416015

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24437747 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24383271

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24440050 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24438986 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24431051 (young)

Sellers @ 5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24434456 (young, unbumped, mass seller)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24418733

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24425830 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24409619

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24426896 (young, selling multiple)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24436968 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24409630

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24398119 (mass seller)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24434470 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24419080 (mass seller)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24416765

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24411236

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24434057 (young, mass seller)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24419256

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439215 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24367946

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439369 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24433387 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24419156

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24436584 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24411064

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24397173

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439829 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24433853 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24435420 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24433306 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24377670

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439452 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24418523

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24414164

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24409610

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24377352

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24436614 (young, unbumped, selling multiple)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24422181 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24434557 (young, selling multiple)

Seller @ 4.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24418426

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24440200 (young)

Seller @ 4.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24378591

Seller @ 4.22

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24438312 (young)

Sellers @ 4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24416110

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439727 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24438334 (young)

Seller @ 3.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24414843

Seller @ bp price

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24436352 (young, selling multiple)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24435161 (young, poorly bumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24432721 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24437332 (young)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24439477 (young)

I won't bother looking beyond page 15 because it will take me ages to go through this.

Too many sellers @ 5 to deny that 4~5 ref is the most common trading point

Feel free to support/counter my proof