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~23.5 keys
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Unusual Prince Tavish's Crown Blizzardy Storm
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373407 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24335454

Sold for a bud: http://backpack.tf/item/95508315 Crit noob has this on the 28th of October, on the 29th he has the crown and no longer has the bud.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23696504 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23907772

Sold for a bud


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23865083 Sold for 17 keys + a Noh Mercy + a Festive buff banner + 1.33 ref

The hat sold on the 5th, at which time buds were about 13.25 keys and keys were 12.66

Festive buff banner was about .16 keys, the noh mercy was about .27 keys, and 1.33 ref was about .11 keys.

17 + .16 + .27 + .11 / 13.25 = ~1.323 buds, rounding to 1.3

http://backpack.tf/item/2601389142 Here, the hat went from Mongy to MerKo. On the 5th of December http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087079164?time=1417766400 Mongy has the crown, on the 8th http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087079164?time=1418025600 Everything in the new items section from the buff banner to the last key is from MerKo, and the crown is no longer in Mongy's backpack.


Criticism is nice

    First sale sold in a day and the second is what R+ubi (the one who next got the crown) will pay for the crown in their quickbuy trade so I'm guessing that's how it changed hands. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23401032


    This trade has a recent rejected offer of 16 keys (~1.2 buds) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24429177


    In other words, your low end is invalid.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24649198 - b/o 1.1 up for 5 days

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24644187 - offered with ~5 keys in sweets to the OF lid. B/O on the lid was 1.1. Certainly a sale value at 1 or less

      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146110288?time=1420790400 - bubbling shako + ~1 key in sweets ~1


      Just a lot of sales at ~1. And the current b/o at 5 days at 1.1. I think the range is about right here