Second Attempt, this time aided by Polar!

1 of 2, 1 of 1 with market history to be found!

Sequential History of Recent Trades

(1)Traded for a Terror-Watt Modest Metal Pile of Scrap: Theirs: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24360303 Mine: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24414360#latest

PROOF

http://backpack.tf/item/1878778611

http://backpack.tf/item/3271082188

SO

[(0.9x61)/14.5] (current pricing, don't require mini!) = 3.8 buds

(2)Looks like Traded with Green Confetti Muffs for Frostbite Large Luchadore. Not 100% sure, can't verify. Both Muffs and Luchadore unpriced. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24336748 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3365310123,380,5

SO

scratch for this one :|

(3) Traded for Circling Heart Pampered Pyro : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24292592 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24294110

PROOF

http://backpack.tf/item/2997061367

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3311236769,30139,5

SO

0.9x (3.9) [see MINI PROOF for 3.9] = 3.5 buds

(4) Traded for orbiting fire Bunsen Brave and PRO KS GRU http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24276371 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3337457630,30054,5

So, just over 2 buds. I spoke with the the purchaser on Steam, and he even told me got it for super cheap.

SO

Outlier Value!

Therefore,

Low range of 3.5 buds, High range of 3.8 buds

MINIS

Circling Heart Pampered Pyro MINI

Traded for Terror-Watt Infernal Impaler and 16 keys

Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24336101

PROOF

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3354489242,30139,5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093998184?time=1420336755

Couldn't 100% verify trade (item history for impaler didn't show him, traded before backpack scanned), so added seller and confirmed

http://imgur.com/N3mtn3p

[43.5 + 16/14.5] = 4.1 buds. No overpay, 3 buds is pure value for TW Impaler,

[Polar's Proof]

http://www.tf2outpos.../trade/23947718- bubbling bomber + 30 keys ~3.9 (doesn't really matter that the bomber is old since it won't affect the price much)

http://backpack.tf/p...time=1417420800- hearts fro ~3.6 (outdated, but supports the range)

[/Polar's Proof]

SO, range of 3.6 to 4.1 buds, or average of ~3.9 buds.

TW Impaler - (for pricing CHP) [Polar's Proof]

http://www.tf2outpos.../trade/24427416- Green Energy Glengarry Bonnet ~3 (was offered - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24368975)

http://www.tf2outpos.../trade/24367745- 44 keys pure ~3 pure at the time

http://www.tf2outpos.../trade/23575478- cauldron bakers ~2.5 - http://backpack.tf/p...time=1415347200(probably a true quicksell given how fast it sold for 3, including 3 pure)

http://www.tf2outpos.../trade/24427560- offered on a scorching sultan. b/o of 3

SO

3 Buds

[/Polar's Proof]

Cheers :) Also, a big thanks to Polar for suggestions, and proof!

- rains