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Updating this, Proof:
Sale 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24239022 - sold for a Eerie Orbiting fire Panama ~1.5 bud
Sale 2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23935734 - sold for a Aces High Drill Hat ~1.4 bud
Conclusion: Cancer hat + effect, deserves a drop.
Its the same person buying on both trades so dont know how that can count as 2 sales? Unless An Angry Potato (T.F.F) bought 2 them? Check both hat historys abd its got all the same names.
It can, as it is just an earlier sale on the same hat, and even thought they are on the same hat, they still can count as individual sales.