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~470 keys
gst.jr
Unusual War Pig Ghastly Ghosts Jr
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Resubmitting as contacting polar and he told me that a wider range is better as it reflects the uncertaintly regarding the new hat ( http://postimg.org/image/8hs0hwu3l/ )

The low range was ignored before (6.6) due it being an outlier but with sale 3 I think we can exclude that.


Sale 1:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24188836#latest

Sold for 5 buds + Stormy Storm villain's veil (4.8)

5 + 4.8 (0.9)

5+ 4.32 =

9.32 rounded down to

9.3 buds

Proof: http://postimg.org/image/fi1vxiafp/


Sale 2:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24440926

backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068?time=1420358400

backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068?time=1420531200

1:1 with a lucky shot morning glory

8.9 x 0.9 = 8.01 rounded down to

8 buds


Sale 3:

backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158937442?time=1420358400

backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158937442?time=1420444800

1:1 with a time warp Towering pile of hats (7.75)

7.75 x 0.9 = 6.975 rounded up to

7 buds


Sale 4:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23998945#latest

Warpig + a bud sold for a vintage Tyrolean vivid Plasma (3) + Blighted Beak Searing Plasma (4.55)

Warpig was offered on the above unusuals thus no overplay calculated

x + 1 = 7.55

x = 6.55

x= 6.6

Proof: http://postimg.org/image/z1mar39mr/


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Mini on lucky shot morning glory:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54aea681ba8d8838348b585a

Taking it as 8.9

    Your sale was called an outliner, you are only using it because of the argument you had with Hyrar, correct? http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54974b39ba8d88694f8b4821 had the same range, nonsense to suggest it again to annoy another user, the 6.6 sale is a obvious outliner.

      I actually contacted polar regarding the overpay, and after I asked him regarding my range since 7 is quite close to 6.6. Proof is above. It was considered an outlier when there was the 6.6 bud sale and the 9.3 one, with the 7 and 8 one I'd say the range is quite fair.

        still, the offers that were listed in the suggestion i linked were valid at the time, just waiting to suggest at the same range doesnt make the offers dissappear, there were offers way higher than the sale, so its an obvious outliner

          they were all early offers when the hat was still hyped, these sales the 7 and 8 ones are recent. I'm just following what Polar told me and including the wide range. Will wait for feedback from him.

            From what i can see, you havent informed polar about the offers, the reason why the suggestion with the same range got closed, so maybe by telling him there are offers well above the low end he will agree that 6.6 is an outliner?

              I'll just wait for him to decide, when they were alone with the 9.3 and 6.6 bud sales, I'd say you could have considered it an outlier, but the 7 and 8 bud sales are in between so with that reasoning the 9.3 is alot further from 8 than the 6.6 is from 7 so it's not really an easy decision. I'm just going to leave it as it is, once they review it they can see if it's acceptable or not.

    Good proof, just wondering where you got the price on the lucky. From other sales? There hasn't been an accepted price yet. Regardless, more than enough proof to price a hat. Good job.

      it's instead of the minis as I had to do a mini mini on the samur-eye, this way it doesn't clog up the suggestion.

      I agree with polar with the large range here. It is hard to call 6.6 buds as an outlier here when there is another sale at 7. In addition to that, 7 buds and 8 buds sales are the recent sales here which suggest that the true value should lie within this range. The average value of this large range does lie within this range so accepting this as it is.