Suggestion: Strange Festive Backburner at 2 keys

Price Suggestion

~14.9 keys

256 votes up

71 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Fri, 09 Jan 15 01:42:44 +0000 by A Delicious Cashew™.

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Comments

No price for this yet? Suppose I'll give it a shot.

Sellers/Unsolds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24524505 -- 1 key (6 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24519748 -- 1 key + 6 ref (16 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24522217 -- 1.5 keys (13 hours, unbumped)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24501891 -- Had a willing buyer at 2 keys, but hasn't yet sold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24500574 -- SOLD for 2 keys (outpost says they still have it, but sending a trade offer reveals that it is gone)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24519167 -- SOLD for 2 keys (see above note)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24423904 -- SOLD for 2 keys (5 days ago, it seems)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24432383 -- 2 keys (5 days) <-- Appears to have changed price to 1 key at some point

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24519889 -- 2 keys (16 hours)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24509340 -- 2 keys (1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24497538 -- 2 keys (2 days) -- Rejected 1 key offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24463457 -- 2 keys (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24460622 -- 2 keys (4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24478661 -- 2.5 keys (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24466851 -- 3 keys (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24474565 -- 3 keys (3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24426500 -- 3 keys (6 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24440370 -- No price set, rejected 1 key offer

Classifieds

http://i.imgur.com/GvhjU2c.jpg?1

1.15 seller confirmed sold. Buyer is re-selling for 1.68 keys above.

Buyers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24518890 -- 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24505929 -- 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24441560 -- 1 key (three in backback at time of suggestion)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24483122 -- 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24510954 -- 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24498090 -- 1 key (has one in backpack at time of suggestion)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24383782 -- 1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24520651 -- 1 key

Appear to all be buying at quicksell prices.

In conclusion, it looks possible to get under 2 keys in rare cases, but those cases are either under 1 day old or unbumped for long periods. (Note: the 1 key + 6 ref seller is the same person in the buyers section who appears to have bought 3 for 1 key). As such, I'll go with the "safe" range that includes my sellers (will try to look for more) and go with a flat 2-key suggestion. Market at 2 keys is large enough to show that the range shouldn't be above that, at least.

Accidently closed my comment.

You need more solds at 2 keys.

You have more buyer at 1 key than solds at 2 .

downvote

All but two buyers are unsuccessful, and those that did manage to buy are reselling for higher prices. 1 key seems to be the common "buying quicksells" price.

As for the solds, I can see your point there. I'm currently looking for more but the market isn't all that large, and that was all I could find recently via trade.tf. I am looking for more though. As a note, the 1 key Seller seems to have found a buyer since I posted this suggestion (putting the sale time at ~9 hours, 'quicksell' range I would say)

just saying i bought the strange festive back burner for 1 key as well so maybe try again but with 1~2 keys. maybe u might have better luck then.

I discussed this with [xG:A] Scootaloo below, but as it stands all my current 1 key buyers have attempted to resell for higher prices. If I find more non-quickbuyers enough to warrant that change, I might try it.

For now though, could I bother you to get a screenshot of the trade in your Inventory History so it can be used as proof?

Current provided proof shows more evidence that this price should probably be set closer to 1 key. Perhaps a range of 1-2 keys is in order? There seem to be a large amount of people buying at a key and not enough at two.

The buyers at 1 key don't seem to have much success, and those that do are re-selling for higher prices (both successful buyers are reselling, last I checked). I don't see how this shows that 1 key should be in the range.

One other buyer does exist who is attempting to 1:1 for a Spec KS Kit Kit (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24504628) valued at $6.40 on the market, but in my experience using those as proof has gotten poor feedback and as such I avoided using it.

A few sellers under 2 keys do exist, but due to all of these trades being <1 day old I decided to go with the conservative '2 key' flat price instead. If I was lowering the price I might have tried a lower range, but voters here only accept Solds as valid proof in cases such as this where no previous price exists. I didn't feel like wasting my time only for the voters to complain about there being no solds to support the low end.

I see what you mean. Perhaps 1.5-2 would be a better suited range then?

Might be. I considered making such a range, but I didn't feel the young trades would suffice. If I can find better proof for the low end I might try it, but as it stands now there are only scattered sellers below 2 keys and some poorly-bumped trades. If you feel that a 1.5-2 range would succeed or be better given the proof, feel free to use my proof in a counter-suggestion. Otherwise I'll wait until this suggestion passes/fails and see if more proof for a low end appears.

Bought this and the revolver recently for 1 key + 1 ref each, only took about 24 hours of bumping trades.

http://i.imgur.com/Ev2hiws.png

I agree 1 key is a bit of a quicksell but there are lots of sellers out there asking for less than 2 keys.