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Let's try this out.
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24513261 - 3 keys, posted 2 days ago, recently bumped, same guy in classifieds.
Only valid one on outpost and classifieds, others looking for 5 keys.
Any help, comments, and constructive criticism is always appreciated.
Your 3 key seller's original price was 4 keys (seen by the darkened 4th key in the trade). However, it's impossible to tell exactly when he changed from 4 to 3 keys. It could have been just after the trade was made or just 1 hour ago. I would give it some time to see when it sells.
Saw that and he did change the asking price in the description. Like you indicated, it may have been changed anywhere from 6hrs-2 days ago. I'll keep this suggestion up for now, but be cautious it may be young.