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Prices <2 ref are sold very quickly. >2 ref were sold mostly over a week ago or were never sold. 2 ref were sold and bought frequently within the last few days. 2 ref is the most accurate price based on the many trades I found. (please comment and give feedback)
Those sold >1 week ago are higher prices because the item first came out.
Sold/Bought for 1.33 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24549118 (sold) <1 day ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24289092 (bought) <1 day ago
Sold/Bought for 1.66:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24515746 (sold) (<1 day ago)
Sold/Bought for 2 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24445065 (sold) (2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24419256 (sold) (~half a week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24404175 (bought) >1 week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24442949 (sold) (less than a week ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24468051 (sold) (2-3 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24437959 (sold) (2-7 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24451557 (2.33) (sold) (5-6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24425986 (bought) (5-7 days ago)
Bought/Sold for 3 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24403008 (bought) >1 week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24455276 (x4 sold) (3-8 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24430772 (x3 sold) (6+ days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24484850 (sold) 2-5 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24470917 (sold) 5 days ago
Sold for 5 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24404135 >1 week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24408441 >1 week ago
Bought for 7 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24372567 >1 week ago
Unsolds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24454060 (2.33) (6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24411456 (3 ref) (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24465371 (5 ref) (6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24423770 (10 ref) (1 week)
Sold one of these for 1.66 ref, took a few days for it though.
Personally i think there should be a range.
I only found about 4 of them sold under 2 ref, and most of the ones sold above 2 ref were a while ago.
You nearly baited me into a blindvote.
The text. It made me accidentally blindvote.
But proof is meh. Neutral for now.
You dont need unsolds to set a new price for a item.
I think a range would be better, seeing as it sells for less.
Eh. Realistically probably should be 1.66-2, but I'm okay with this to start