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Okay guys, this hat is 1-of-1 in existence, to which I am the current owner with no intentions of ever reselling. I am completely okay with the suggested range. If any of my calculations are in error, please let me know and I will fix as soon as possible.
Here is my proof:
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Sale 1 (My Purchase)
Searing Plasma Trophy Belt (2.4 Buds) + Miami Nights War Pig (4 Buds) + Master’s Yellow Belt (14 Buds) + Strange Construction PDA (.6 Buds) + Strange Festive Wrangler (.15 Buds)
Total = 21.15 * .9 (overpay) = 19.035. Rounded down to 19 for neatness.
http://i.imgur.com/aQuICsd.png
Mini on Yellow Belt:
Sold for a Smoking Master’s Yellow Belt (1.75), Burning Sola Topi (3), Ooze Toy Soldier (3.3), Flies Ushanka (1 Bud), and an Anti-Freeze Larrikin (~ 5)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038?time=1420704000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058569038?time=1420876800
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale 2
Sunbeams Bombing Run (2.65 Buds) + Purple Energy Screeamin’ Eagle (~13.5 Buds) + 3 Pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24164120
Total = 16.15 * .9 (overpay) = 14.535, plus 3 Pure = 17.535 Buds, rounded to 17.6 for Neatness.
It would seem that during the sale, both the buyer and seller mispriced the Beams Bombing Run at 4 buds instead of 2.65. I think this may qualify as an outlier, but if it does not classify, I can resuggest with the lower range.
Mini on Purple Energy Screamin’ Eagle:
Sold for a Dead Presidents Towering Pillar of Hats (3.6 Buds) + Orb. Fire Dread Knot (.7 Buds) + Cloudy Moon Officer’s Ushanka (7.5 Buds) + Smoking Little Buddy (1 Bud) + ~5 Keys Sweets (.35 Buds) = ~13.5 Buds
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048188762?time=1420531200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048188762?time=1420617600
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale 3
Haunted Phantasm Jr. Impaler (~15-16.75, Average at 15.875, rounded to 15.9) + Vivid Samur-Eye (4 Buds) + 3 Pure
Total = 19.9 * .9 (overpay) = 17.91, plus 3 pure = 20.91, Rounded down to 20.9 for neatness.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23671091
Double Mini on Haunted Phantasm Jr. Impaler:
1. Sold for Sunbeams Anger (15.08 Buds)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083694664?time=1416124800
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083694664?time=1416297600
2. Sold for 2 Haunted Ghosts Yellow Belts (6 Each) and an Orb. Eerie Fire Anger (4.75) = 16.75
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040189013?time=1416124800
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040189013?time=1416038400
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Once again, if an error has been made in my calculations, kindly let me know and I can fix and resubmit the price suggestion. Thanks a ton you guys!
You could have rounded 20.9 to 21 buds but it is okay xD
I figured that would have been acceptable, but better to be safe than sorry. I figured I'd be generous. =p
For high tier hats (20 buds and above) rouding off to the nearest bud is reasonable
Hey thanks a ton for that. Next time I will make sure to round it off. =D
There are alot of outdated prices mate like the cloudy moon ushanka
Outdated is >3 months, right? When that's the case, I need to provide more sales, yes?
If that's the case, I can definitely recheck all the hats. Any others I missed besides the ushanka? I want this to be squeaky clean.
I'm checking the rest as we speak, the larrikin robin antifreeze is unpriced so you'd need a mini on that. for the flies ushanks though it's outdated, it's backpack price is still probably accurate since it's about a bud and can't see it making much of a difference.
Okay, so I'd need to provide a mini for the Robin and the Ushanka? I'll get to work immediately.
Also the towering pillar of hats dead presidents, yellow belt haunted ghosts
Thanks for the help. I'll take these one at a time and post the minis as comments.
alright mate you'd prob need a new suggestion to adjust the price, if you need some help regarding the minis or if you can't find sales, feel free to add me and I'll try and help you out
Doing the mini for the larrikin first. Most recent sale besides the one involved in the suggestion was last May, but it seems the individual got 6+ buds for it.
I'd assume that's a very old sale and probably not usable, right?
Mini on the Robin:
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083434588?time=1401951600
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083434588?time=1402038000
The hat is also 1-of-1, so this is really the only concrete proof we have of its value.
EDIT: The Larrikin should actually have a price of 5.5 Buds with this pure sale, as Earbuds were priced at 22 keys a piece at the time of the deal. The seller received 4 pure buds and 33 keys, which is 5.5 total.
I did find another sale on the Towering Pillar of Hats that recently happened too.
Mini on the Towering Pillar:
Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Dragonborn Helm (4-5)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049283784?time=1419667200
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049283784?time=1420012800
That sale happened on the 28th of December.
I can definitely change that value too. Even after overpay I think it's higher than the originally state 3.75.
Found a recent sale in which a Cloudy Moon Ushanka was traded 1:1 for a 1-of-2 Frostbite Company Man. That's quite the 1:1 trade. Obviously it doesn't help all that much in this situation, since the Company Man does not have a price, but something tells me that hat will probably be worth >8 Buds.
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058279723?time=1420704000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058279723?time=1420704000
I'll keep digging for the Ushanka.
Do standing C/Os ever get used as proof?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24420774
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24456508
Two different Haunted Yellow Belts, but both sales share something in common: A user has offered a GE Attendant as a 1:1 for both hats, and on both offers is pending approval.
I know it isn't a sale, but it is something. The GE Attendant is currently priced at 6.73 buds, or 6.03 after overpay is applied. Should one of them sell for that, or even if the offerer adds in a bit more, it should solidify the price, yes?
>Mfw you unboxed this and only sold it for 9~
Ugh, I hate that feeling of getting a new unusual and watching it sell more for what you got months later. =(
The Master's Yellow Belt that was in Sale #1 was a Morning Glory belt by the way. In case any of you were wondering. XD
I'm a complete noob on suggesting . I was thinking why did u price at 19 -21buds , not 17.5 buds to 21 buds . Was sale 2 included in the pricing?
Lol, that's okay. I'm a complete noob on suggestions too. This is my first, solid suggestion ever.
Well, sale 2 was significantly lower than the other two sales, but I didn't want to leave it off. I think it was much lower because the two parties involved mispriced the Sunbeams Bombing Run, causing it to be much closer to the 19-20 range than it actually was.
I myself was unclear on that as well. I would love some clarification on it. Should sale 2 be considered an outlier?
CLOSING SUGGESTION TO RESUBMIT PRICE WITH MORE SUPPORTING EVIDENCE AND UPDATED RANGE