Suggestion: Poisoned Shadows Kiss King at 187.2–267.8 keys

Price Suggestion

~222 keys

shadow

104 votes up

18 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 30 Jan 15 15:14:01 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Resuggesting due to second tracable sale

Sale 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23430840 Sold for Searing Canc- I mean TC + 5 buds pure + 3 keys + Cold Snap Coat

X = 17*0.9 + 5 + 0.3

X = 20.6

TC http://backpack.tf/item/368076253

Buds http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060313793?time=1419062400#page16

King http://backpack.tf/item/3123978137

TC Mini

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23755714 Sold for Scorching Honchos + 6 buds pure

X = 12.2*0.9 + 6

X = 17

Honchos http://backpack.tf/item/1086522789

TC http://backpack.tf/item/368076253

Sale 2 (Gent did dis because I used my powers against him hueahuhea)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24228670 Sold for Peace Antlers (Outdated at 19, mini at 16)

16 * 0.9 = 14.4

Histories;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3420781897,30313,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3413997005,993,5

Mini for Antlers

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24525451 Sold for Vivid Stash (~9.5) + 7 pure

(9.5 * 0.9) + 7 = 15.55 (rounding to 15.5)

Histories:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3413997005,993,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24521917

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3413997005,993,5 -> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3374233614,829,5

Sold for AF War Pig (14)

14 * 0.9 = 12.6 - outlier, higher offers are literally everywhere

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24535932 Offered Stormy 13th Bomber (18.25)

18.25 * 0.9 = 16.425 (rounding to 16.5)

Using 15.5-16.5.

This range.......

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24228670 Sold for Peace Antlers (Outdated at 19, mini at 16)

16 * 0.9 = 14.4 (rounding to 14.5)

I did the rounding for you ;-;

Also, what powers, you asked me to because you were stressed and I was only too happy to oblige <3

My powers were looking helpless and needy to sway your brain hue

Well, I made this suggestion before seeing yours (facepalm) :

For the TC, I made a mini ~ 15.1 buds :

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1416384000 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068066514?time=1416470400

Sold for a clean Scorching Honcho + 2 buds + 60 keys -> 12.2*0.9 + 2 + 60/15.25 = 16.9 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017610291?time=1419494400 -> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017610291?time=1419580800

Sold for 10 buds + 45 keys = 10 + 45/14 = 13.2 buds

Making the sale around 19 buds.

I also added the previous owner of the hat who told me he sold it for 15 buds pure http://i.imgur.com/Q8kT4o4.png (he owned the hat during 3 days, QS?)

Perhaps update the TC first?

You won't be able to update the TC unless another clean sale comes in. The scorching Honchos sale is already outdated, and the second sale provided by ApothicR is a quicksale. EpicBrocolli listed it on classifieds for 13 buds, and i bought it within seconds.

Also, considering how fast it went for 15 buds to The One, your lower range seems to be quite the outlier here.

Resuggesting at a better range would be great

edit: well idk

Mini for Antlers seems good. Maybe make a suggestion for it?

I'm a bit unsure about your mini for the Searing TC. 17 seems rather low. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24316466 Almost sold for ~20 after overpay. Offer value was ~22.5. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23875888 Some noteworthy offers here. A few are ~19-20.

Using mean of 17-20 would make the range of this price suggestion 14.5 - 22 buds. Maybe this hat is not ready to be priced. I would love to see what the mods' decision is.

all of the sales in the mini are using outdated unusuals so it will be necessary to update those hats before making a suggestion for it (or you could just put tons of minis within the suggestion)

Just too many outdated hats here and lots of stacked overpay.. The point of overpay is to determine the pure value of an item. When you multiple a value by 0.9, what you get is the pure value of an item. If you apply overpay again, that is the equivalent of applying overpay on pure. That's why your 14.4 sale appears low. Because you have made 2 buds disappear.

Scorching Honchos: ~10 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24000662 - duped scorching spartan + 4 pure (should be valued at ~10 pure)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23995460 - sold for this ~10 in pure after overpay

TC: ~16-18 probably. Valuing it at 16 pure should be fine

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24081749 - offered with a bud on the specs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23674578 - quicksold for 15 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22697186 - 13.2 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24316466 - getting offers around ~18-19

TC sale would be 16 in pure

Kiss King sale would be 21 in pure. You have given that more precision than it has. It should be rounded due to the uncertainties in values.

Antlers ~16-18 (vivid stash was updated) Should be taken as at least 16 in pure given both sales at 16 and 18 are pure values after overpay

Antlers other sale was this one: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071498662?time=1414738800 which would be ~18 after overpay. GE tyro price is a bit old but it is correct. I sold one recently for about that after overpay.

You are valuing the antlers at 14.4 pure which is very low. The two sales in pure value here will be 16 and 21. And you have also given your sales way more precision they have by choosing not to round, which is misleading.