Suggestion: Molten Mallard Bomber's Bucket Hat at 48.1–58.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~70 keys

mallard

133 votes up

36 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 02 Feb 15 21:41:45 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

1 of 1. These are the only 3 Trades ever done with it, all within 1 Month. *Reupdated Price* This is the winner?

Sales

#1 ~8.2 Buds (3rd Owner to Current) [Outlier]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24372253 ---> Sold for Sulfurous Anger + 1 Bud (Friend of a Friend - Kid Buu Lord of Killing offered)

X = (8 * 0.9) + 1

X = 7.2 + 1

X = 8.2 Buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24377710 ---> Previous Owner's new trade w/ Sulfurous Anger (To prove he got it)

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#2 ~3.7 (2nd Owner to 3rd) (He was Offered the Dapper)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24333425 ---> Sold + 18 Keys + 7.55 Ref in Items for Cloudy Moon Dapper (5.4)

http://imgur.com/0OxURlY / http://imgur.com/fHHiR9M / http://imgur.com/seDUT8x -> The Complete Trade

Dapper: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Dr%27s%20Dapper%20Topper/Tradable/Craftable/38

X + 1.2 Buds (18 keys) + 7.55 Ref (0.04, virtually useless here) = 5.4 * 0.9 (He was Offered the Dapper)

X + 1.2 = 4.86

X = 3.66 Buds

Round to 3.7

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#3 ~4.5 (1st Owner to 2nd) (He was Offered the Bomber)

Same guy as above, except this is what he bought from first guy.

http://imgur.com/GCmh6ll ---> Sold for Pro KS Australium Sniper (Mini Sugg. sold for 4 Buds 7 Keys when Buds were 12.5 each)

http://i.imgur.com/lchqCK6.png?1 ---> Sniper above's Sheen/Effect (Mean Green/Tornado)

X = 4.5 Buds (57 Keys at time of sale) (He was offered the Bomber, no overpay needed)

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Mini on Sniper

http://imgur.com/6yD35Dg -> Sold for 4 Buds (12.5 Keys each at the time) + 7 Keys [This was Daffodil/Flames]

12.5 * 4 = 50 + 7 = 57 - 44 (Sniper) = 13 Keys for Daffodil/Flames

13 Keys for Sheens

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3.7 Bud Trade, 4.5 Bud Trade, 8.2 Bud Outlier

Any comments or suggestions, leave below :D

~Thanks to Harute for Overpay/Pricing tips

Note* A 4th Trade occured, but the buyout was 8 buds, so all offers around there are still outliers of this price.

The first Sale isnt an outlier My friend actually paid the sulphorous Anger + 1 bud for it the bomber

I know. I have checked the sale. However, the Anger price is old, and counting overpay, the entire offer was 8.2 buds. The other sales are 4.5 and 3.7 which aren't close to 8.2

oh ok than

Thanks for the suggestion. Unfortunately, I just don't think this is priceable atm with sales all over the place. Most recent sale is probably around 7 in value (maybe less given the KAW mancer is probably closer to 4-5). That would put your sales at 3.7, 4.5, 6+, and 8. Impossible to say which are outliers. Best to wait for the price to settle a bit. If it happens that 1 month from now it hasn't resold, I would make my decision point based on offers. If the last trade had regular offers >5, I would give this a range of ~6-8 or 7-8 based on whatever value the mancer sale comes out to.