Minis provided for prices marked in RED*.

Sale #1 (January 14th):

Cosa > Clean Max Head

Cosa: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24648885

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026662982?time=1421049600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026662982?time=1421222400

3.3

------------------------------------------------

Sale #2 (January 12th):

Cosa > Duped Nuts n' Bolts Scotsman's Stove Pipe (11.5 keys) + Duped Sulphurous Berliner's Bucket Helm (?*)

Berliner's: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24621647

Stove Pipe: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24605802

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034414784?time=1421049600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034414784?time=1421136000

Latest sales for Duped Berliner's were either too complex or untrackable.

Unvalued Sale

------------------------------------------------

Sale #3 (January 11th):

Cosa > Power Surge Detective Noir (3.65)

Cosa: http://backpack.tf/item/2515696295

Noir: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24409581

Seller's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1420358400

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1420963200

3.65 * 0.9 = 3.285 = 3.3

3.3

------------------------------------------------

Sale #4 (January 7th):

Cosa > 2 buds

Cosa: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24510226

Histories:

Buds: http://backpack.tf/item/248268166 http://backpack.tf/item/93174577

I couldn't find any keys exchanged.

Quicksale!

2

------------------------------------------------

Sale #5 (December 22nd):

Cosa > Gifted Miami Nights Lucky Shot (1.7*) + Terror-Watt Backpackbiter's Billycock (1.4*)

Backpackbiter's Billycock: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24239259

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1419148800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1419321600

(1.7 + 1.4) * 0.9 = 2.78 = 2.8

2.8

------------------------------------------------

Sale #6 (December 9th):

Cosa > Bubbling Blighted Beak (1.9) + 14 keys

Cosa: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24063076

Seller's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110220566?time=1418025600

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110220566?time=1418112000

Buds = 11.25 keys

14 / 11.25 = 1.24 buds

1.9 * 0.9 = 1.71

1.71 + 1.24 = 2.95 = 3

3

------------------------------------------------

Sale #7 (November 26th):

Cosa > Kill-a-Watt Rebel Rouser (1.8*) + 7 keys in items + 5 keys

Cosa: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23703095 (2.2 B/O)

Rebel: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23873634

Seller's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110220566?time=1416902400

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110220566?time=1416988800

Items:

Conga (1 key) + S. Specialized KS Jag (~1 key) + S. KS Shotgun (~1 key) + S. KS Rocket Launcher (~6 ref) + Triggerman's Tactiles (6.33 ref) + Rancho Relaxo (7 ref) + Fresh Brewed Victory (2.33 ref) + Dread Hiding Hood (3.33 ref) + G. Criminal Cloak (2.66 ref) + Dogfighter (7.66 ref) + Last Breath (4.66 ref) + Lunatic's Leather (4 ref) + S. KS Frontier Justice (~4 ref) + Texas Half-Pants (2.33 ref)

Totals to ~7 keys

Keys = 13.33 ref

Buds = 14.25 keys

(7 * 0.9) + 5 = 13.3 keys

13.3 / 14.25 = 0.93 buds

(1.8 * 0.9) + 0.93 = 2.55 = 2.6

Sold for 2.6, but B/O was 2.2

2.2

Minis:

Gifted Miami Nights Lucky Shot (December 20th):

Lucky Shot > Smoking L'Inspecteur (13 keys) + 7 keys

Lucky Shot: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24199171

L'Inspecteur: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24144211

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1418803200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077934494?time=1419062400

(13 * 0.9) + 7 = 18.7 keys

Buds = 11.25 keys

18.7 / 11.25 = 1.66 = 1.7

1.7

------------------------------------------------

Smoking L'Inspecteur (January 1st):

L'Inspecteur > 13 keys

L'Inspecteur: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24402235

Buyer's BP:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103187983?time=1420012800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103187983?time=1420099200

13 keys

------------------------------------------------

Terror-Watt Backbiter's Billycock (December 5th):

Billycock > 19 keys

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091388365?time=1417680000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091388365?time=1417766400

19 keys

Buds = 13.25 keys

19 / 13.25 = 1.43 = 1.4

1.4

------------------------------------------------

Kill-a-Watt Rebel Rouser:

Sale #1 (December 7th):

Rebel Rouser > 18 keys

Rebel Rouser: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24026386

Buyer's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044669156?time=1417852800

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044669156?time=1417939200

Buds = 13.25 keys

18 / 13.25 = 1.35 = 1.4

Quicksale!

1.4

------------------------------------------------

Sale #2 (November 26th):

Rebel Rouser > Ace's High Bubble Pipe (2)

Rebel Rouser: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23875539

Bubble Pipe: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23719956

Seller's BP:

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089917454?time=1416902400

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089917454?time=1416988800

2 * 0.9 = 1.8

1.8

Conclusion:

Most sales for this hat were around 2.8-3.3. The sale at 2 was a quicksale, and the sale at 2.2 is an outlier with plenty of higher sales available.