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Re-suggest
Sale #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23049148
Sold for a clean Cloudy moon veil + beams frontier d'justice
38.3 buds + 14 buds = 52.3 buds * 0.9 = 47 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027529544?time=1414393200 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027529544?time=1414566000
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23545793
Sold for 20 pure + Hellfire Impaler (25 buds, 22.5 after overpay) + pro. Aussie rocket (5, 4.5 after overpay) = 47 buds
Seller’s BP:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031900548?time=1417363098 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031900548?time=1417420800
Buyer’s BP:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023624951?time=1417248000 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023624951?time=1417334400
Beams d’justice Mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23495082
d'justice sold for a stormy 13th hour veil (14 buds after overpay)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086605470?time=1417161600 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086605470?time=1417248000
Cloudy moon veil mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23495082
Sold for a Smissmas Caribou (3.6) + hearts yellow belt (6.5) + death at dusk hood (32.5) = 38.3 buds after overpay
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088210602?time=1418716800 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088210602?time=1418803200
Hellfire Impaler Mini
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042664506?time=1415051171 >
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042664506?time=1415260800
duped flies pullover (14 buds, 12.6 after overpay) + max (3.3) + 9 buds = 25 buds
Using bp.tf price for pullover since the last suggestion used duped sales as proof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24008463
Current owner is looking for 25 buds on it
Pro aussie rocket mini
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23945024
The rocket launcher in questions sold rather quickly for 4 pure + a strange pro. Pan (~ 1), 5 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031900548?time=1417420800
mini on the RL seems way off, i sold mine for a flies beak which exceeds 5 by far http://puu.sh/eB0ZB/e18191665d.jpg
I applaud you. This is far more accurate, but unsure about the current price of the Pro Aussie RL. Also at the time, I traded a clean 1 of 1 Polar Pullover.
The way I see it, since the person you sold it to immediately flipped it for 4 buds + the pan, it seems reasonable to use that as its value pertaining to this trade, even if they could have potentially sold it for more if they waited longer.
True, but another thing you are not taking into consideration is the deflation of bud prices. During the time I bought the Sam, buds were still worth $32-35. Same goes for the Hellfire Impaler and Flies Polar.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023624951?time=1422000000 - beams rack + GE stash + PE tyrants + ~6 pure (houwar, but he gave ~5 buds change). All of these hats are updated. This is the most recent sale. This is by far the most important and reliable sale. And the sale value will be 43.
Previous sale on the impaler was also around 25 back in July. I think that value is okay to use. Pro Aussie Rockets fly at 5.5 pure. You're about a buds short there.
Those are your two reliable sales. One at 43 and the other at 48. That should be the range. Mean would be 45.5. Your mean is ~47. I think this is close enough for a high tier hat.