Price Suggestion
Orbiting Fire Bonk Leadwear
Submitted by Merndy
~14.5 keys
o.fire
Unusual Bonk Leadwear Orbiting Fire
1288 votes up
123 votes down
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This thing ain't priced yet? I GOT DIS!


Sale #1: 1.3 * 0.9 = 1.2 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24538826

Sold for a DP Slug

Leadwear: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3396626631,30030,5

Slug: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3447822095,151,5


Sale #2: 1.8 buds * 0.9 = 1.6 buds (outlier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23734360

Sold for a AH Titanium Pillar

Leadwear: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3195543318,30030,5

Pilar: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3200314378,30008,5


Sale #3: 9 * 0.9 = 8 keys (outlier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23682412

Sold for a Strange Bubbling Big Chief

Big Chief: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3195543325,309,5

Leadwear: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3183924843,30030,5


Sale #4: 16.5 * 0.9 = 15 keys ~1 bud

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23260222

Sold for a Steaming Brain Bucket

Bucket: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3174589725,434,5

Leadwear: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3082862226,30030,5


Mini's:


Slug: 1.4 * 0.9 = 1.3 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23817372

Sold for an AH Merryweather.

Merryweather: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3220688073,182,5

Slug: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3204322081,151,5


Big Chief: 1.6 - 1 = .6 ~9 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23019107

Sold alongside a Smoking Birdcage for a KaW Hat of cards

HoC: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3170612270,825,5

Birdcage: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3170612242,615,5

Big Chief: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3027262554,309,5


Pillar: 2 * 0.9 = 1.8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24664295

Sold for a Smoking Cold killer

Cold killer: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3437783872,981,5

Pillar: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3437783875,30008,5


Thank you, have a nice day!

    Good deal. Proof is solid and I support you on saying the 1.6 is an outlier, especially when the other sales are closer to 1-1.2.

    how is 1.6 an outlier?

      1 and 1.2 are a lot more similar than 1.2 and 1.6

        1-1.6 is ok, I don't see a problem with it

          Just asked cashew, 1-1.2 is fine.

            Cashew is wrong, 1-1.6 is okay, close enough to consider 1.6 an outlier

              "close enough to consider 1.6 an outlier"?

                1 is very close to 1.6, no reason to consider 1.6 an outlier, that's what I'm referring to.

                  Yet 1.2 is closer.

                    so? we can't just ignore sale for 1.6 buds

                      Well, what would have happened if I didn't put that in the suggestion, and left it out of this since I thought it to be an outlier? I doubt you would have went to go find it since there is 3 sales here and I only need 2 sales to give it a price in the first place. I mean, after all, you seem to main in 1 link suggestions, right?

                        1-1.6 is okay, 1.2 is also in range, can't ignore a sale which is very close to the low end plus no need to be agressive, I'm only giving you advice, not an order.

                          I'm gonna try make some sense of this "1.6 outlier" crap. But I'll actually try back up what I'm saying.


                          http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53be1ef74cd7b888668b4568 - I originally suggested this at a range of 1-1.8. Seemed fine at first, I obviously forgot to check B/Os. 1-1.8 would've been fine if it wasn't for the fact that 1.8 was proven to be an outlier.


                          http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53bf031c4cd7b8d3658b4568 - re-suggested at 1-1.5, everything went smoothly.


                          The point here is that 1.6 needs to be proven to be an outlier, which would make sense. However, in this case, there's sales at ~8 keys, 1, 1.2, 1.6. Cutting out the low and high sales is indeed fine, and overrides all this. So, uh, yeah, the outliers are pretty clear on both ends here.

                            Not really sure what you're trying to say.

                              Okay, TL;DR this suggestion is fine, deal with it.

                                Deal with what...? I made the suggestion, of course I'm gonna back my suggestion.

        An outlier is a deviation from the mean, which is what Merndy is trying to say. With 2 sales very close together and one that isn't, it doesn't really fit with the two other prices.


        This may or may not be my personal opinion, but it's what merndy is trying to express.

        "Downvote 4 Gibus lololol" *Gets banned* "Where did I go wrong?" ._.

          Dafuc are you talking about?

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064873936?time=1421654400 - another sale close to the suggested range