Suggestion: Chiroptera Venenata Hot Dogger at 45–58.5 keys

Price Suggestion

~480 keys

venenata

91 votes up

27 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 19 Jan 15 21:46:54 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Skipping my sales? Really?

Counter.

Sold for an Australium Pro KS Scattergun(3.5 with Overpay), 2 Keys, a Collector's Lollichop and a Strange Festive Black Box(4.5 Keys w/ overpay)(3.9 Total)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23668514

http://i.imgur.com/s8adcZ4.png

Australlium Pro KS Scattergun mini suggestion

All recent sales in the SCM(Keys = $2.49): http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Scattergun

$143.75

$143.72

$130.00

$125.00

$115.00

$149.49

$128.94

$149.50

$129.86

$148.34

$117.57

$128.58

$132.95

$140.00

$149.50

$157.02

$189.75

$169.86

$154.88

$154.99

$176.46

$170.00

$123.83

$149.50

$127.50

$144.38

$150.00

$113.78

$155.82

$165.99

$150.00

$147.11

$145.00

$148.30

$133.09

$150.00

$141.77

$142.50

$151.21

$137.01

$148.03

$161.00

$115.47

The average comes out at $144.46(Roughly 58 Keys)

To support this:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24714492 Seller at 60 Keys

To support my counter:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23645789 Got offered 50 keys pure, ultimately didn't sell

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23900179 The 2.1 sale sold within a day, likely a quicksell

Bufu's proof(Credits to him):

Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24548569#latest

just sold for 3 buds pure http://imgur.com/fqU4JTr

Sale 2: Sold with 1 bud (14.5-15 keys at the time) for a bubbling KE (~2.85) + 8 keys(Outlier)

so the KE = the hot dogger + 7 keys

2.85x14.5 - 7 =~ 34 keys = 2.37 buds = 2.13 after overpay rounded to 2.1

http://imgur.com/mGwbppY

Bubbling KE mini - Sold with a searing plasma berliner's (~1.45) for a knifestorm medic cap (~4.3)

BP before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110137758?time=1417161600

BP after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110137758?time=1417248000

I've also gotten offers around and above 4, but I have no way of proving that. 3-3.9 should be the correct range.

Knew it was a little low. Damn, would never have suspected it was wrong tho.

Eh, the 3 buds seller took 8 days to sell at 3 buds pure. 3.9 buds seems high to me especially when the 3 buds seller is the most recent sale and it took him quite a while to get it sold at that price.

I was selling it since the 28th november, I had next to no offers so i took the 3 buds and ran

I did some further digging, Bufu got an offer of a Burning Hard Top not long ago(~3.5 at the time, ~2.8 right now): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24392163

I mainly did this suggestion because 2.1 is definitely an outlier, especially since it sold so fast.

Should I just go with 3 flat?

Well that offer would be 2.8 * 0.9 = ~2.5 buds which is still lower than what this current range's value (~2.65 buds). Without any offers to even suggest that this hat is more than 3 buds, I will still stick with recent sale taking precedence over older sales.

I'll give it a shot with 3 flat then, since both the 2.1 and 3.9 sales are considered old in this case.(they happened a day after another)