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I'm not sure about this.
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24343494 Sold for Logo Stunman + Ghosts Bombing
B/O for Fro was 2
B/O for Bombing was 1.5
B/O for Stuntman was 17-18 keys (1.4)
X = 1.4*0.9 + 1.5*0.9
X = 2.6
X = 2 (B/O)
Bombing http://backpack.tf/item/816603292
Stuntman http://backpack.tf/item/240567414
Fro http://backpack.tf/item/1868559389
Mini for Bombing
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24704453 B/O of 20 keys, using 20 keys
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24038314 Sold for Strike DFD
DFD had no trade, presuming offered
B/O for Fro was 5
X = 1.7*0.9
X = 1.5
DFD http://backpack.tf/item/2792490194
Fro http://backpack.tf/item/1868559389
For your sale #2, no overpay is needed since it was offered here. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23653280 . The change in value is ~0.1 - 0.15 buds, accepting this as it is.