Price Suggestion
Vivid Plasma Lucky Shot
Submitted by ★ averyj4ckm4n
67.91%
122.39–146.46 keys
93.6–110.5 keys
6
~42 keys
vivid
Unusual Lucky Shot Vivid Plasma
91 votes up
43 votes down
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Comments

(7.25 in mixed) Sold for a Frostbite Dr's Dapper Topper + 15 keys pure http://imgur.com/0DZe0bl


Frostbite Dr's Dapper Topper Mini~6.3-6.5

>Sold for a Demonflame Slick Cut~6.3

-Dapper effect: http://imgur.com/lcapwjH

-Slick Cut effect: http://imgur.com/G7qAABN


Demonflame Slick Cut Mini because the old suggestion is 4 months old (Credit to old suggestion for sale)~6.3

>Sold for Aces High Hat of Cards (~5.9) + 4 keys = ~6.1

- http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091854314?time=1405926000 (Before)

- http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091854314?time=1406012400 (After)

>Sold for Cloud 9 Vintage Tyrolean (~5.3) + 1 bud + 3 keys = ~6.5

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20903893

- http://i.gyazo.com/e1daae6d2a740eb73d9700fe0b06d0c1.png - Just the trade itself


(8 in mixed) Vivid Plasma Lucky Shot+2 buds for Massed Flies Tough Stuff Muffs~10 buds http://imgur.com/njBcXuP


Flies Tough Stuff Mini because the old suggestion is 3 months old~10 buds (Credit to old suggestion)

> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21288140 - Sold for Flies Phantom + Flies Cosa + Flies Valley Forge + Flies Sola Topi + 3 buds (2.8+3.5+1.2=7.5*0.9=6.8+3=9.8 buds)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21709831 - Sold for Miami Black Watch + Bills + 1 key in sweets (2.7*0.9=2.4+0.4=2.8 buds)

-Valley Forge and Cosa sold together for 3 buds + 10 keys (3.5 buds)

- http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067910800?time=1407654000 (Before)

- http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067910800?time=1407740400 (After)

> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22927590 - Bought for Stormy KE + Phosphorous Burning Bandana + 1 bud (11.8 buds) [Offer Value: 10.6 buds]

-Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074849590?time=1411801200

-After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074849590?time=1411887600


(8.6 in unusuals) Cloud 9 Pirate Bandanna + Sulphorous Hustler's Hallmark for Vivid Plasma Lucky Shot

>Backpack before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012301951?time=1420272000

>Backpack after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012301951?time=1420876800


(7.2 in unusuals) Cloud 9 Bonk Boy for Vivid Plasma Lucky Shot

>Cloud 9 Bonk Boy was 7.2 at the time of the trade: https://backpack.tf/vote/id/5478224cb88d88ac768b49e8

>Backpack before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046454218?time=1415433600

>Backpack after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046454218?time=1415520000


(5.3 in HOUWAR, outlier) Vivid Plasma Lucky Shot+Vivid Plasma Napper's Respite+Holy Grail Spent Well Spirits for Duped HOUWAR

>Backpack before: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013247974?time=1415952000

>Backpack after: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013247974?time=1416038400

>11 buds for HOUWAR * 0.9 = 9.9 buds

>Lucky Shot+Napper+Spent Spirits = 13.48

>7.33/13.48= %54

>0.54*9.9=5.3 buds

Avatar ★ averyj4ckm4n · posted

    8.58 should round to 8.6, looks good apart from that.

    ★ ¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡ · posted

    2 of your 3 minis on the muffs are 6 months old, I don't think those can be used.

    Avatar Mindacos · posted

      Well in that case I suppose the 1 sale that isn't old can be used simply as a support for the price range

      Avatar ★ averyj4ckm4n · posted

      First looking at your sales


      Sale #1

      1. Your mini suggested value of the frostbite dapper seems close


      More recent sales for it.

      1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24780075 Sold for Blizzardy storm rack(3.35 buds * 0.9 = ~3 buds) + 11 keys . Making this ~3.9 buds. (Outlier with 4 buds pure offer declined)

      2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24725542 Sold for level 5 max(3.3 buds) + Cloud 9 Headwarmer(3.75 buds * 0.9 = ~3.4 buds). Making this ~6.7 buds


      2. You have to apply overpay on this sale. So 6.3 buds * 0.9 = ~5.7 buds + ~1 bud.


      Sale value should be ~6.7 buds.


      Sale #2

      -> The seller had a b/o of 6 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24565822 . It shouldnt be valued more than that. The sale would be capped at 6 buds.


      Sale #3

      -> Again, the seller's b/o is 80 keys. (~5.5 buds) . http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24380747 . It shouldnt be valued more than that.


      Sale #4

      -> You should be using the value of cloud 9 bonk boy when that suggestion was accepted so 6.5 buds * 0.9 = ~5.9 buds.


      Sale #5

      -> This is a complex sale so shouldn't be used here.


      Current seller

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24322892 b/o 7 buds for a month.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23674338 b/o 7.7 buds


      So summarizing, sales at 5.5, 5.9, 6 and 6.7. Current sellers are lower than what you are suggesting. For the 5.5 buds b/o, at the time the buds value was pretty volatile so the b/o could've been ~6 as well. With 5.9 buds being pretty close to 6 buds, please resuggest at a range of 6-6.7 buds. Thanks.

      Avatar ★ aaroncsn · posted