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Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24450035 - offered along with 14 keys pure on aces pullover ~8 = ~7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24479132 - offered in a bulk deal for beams surgeon's shako (unpriced and unpriceable)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24071478 - sold for ghosts beak ~8 + bliz cosa ~1.65 + arcana mongolian ~2.3 = ~11.95*0.9 = ~10.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24310541 - sold for hellfire AA ~7.5 + screaming tiger fresh brewed ~3.5 = ~11*0.9 = ~10 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760?time=1419926400 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24691963 - sold for duped aces KE ~5 + 4.5 pure = ~9
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24694347 - 9 B/O
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24546200 - 9 B/O
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24705680 - 10 B/O
Sales at 7, 9, 10, 10.7. Considering current B/Os, I suppose that 10.7 is a bit too high whereas 7 feels really low. I find 9-10 reasonable enough here.
Arcana mongolian:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24075296 - sold along with 3 painted bills (~1) for stormy modest ~3.65*0.9 = ~3.3 - 1 = ~2.3 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063500219?time=1418245494 ~ http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049748674?time=1418281749 )
Screaming tiger fresh brewed:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23396725 - sold for 3.5 pure
Duped aces KE:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24497776 - sold for GE FFF ~5.6*0.9 = ~5.1
Considering multiple B/Os at 5 for duped aces KE, I'll take it as a price
10.7 sale happened when this was 1 of 2. 10 sale happened when it was 1 of 3. 7 and 9 sales happened when it was 1 of 4. And there are multiple b/os at 9. I'm thinking this is closer to 9. One of them has been up for a week, but I'm happy to leave this up for a week to see if it can sell.
Yeah, I wasn't sure either since 7 and 9 sales are the most recent ones.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24546200 - the one, which was opened for a week got sold for 264€ on SCM
Seller received 8.5, buyer paid 9.7. Mean value ~9 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24885652 - b/o 7.5
Multiple b/os at 9. 10 is too high now. I would probably go with 9 flat. Or wait on the 7.5 trade and go 7.5-9 or even 7-9.