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2 years old price
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23996303 - sold for dota 2 stuff worth ~3 + bills ~0.2 + 1 bud pure = ~3.8 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054207017 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24016759 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24722244 - sold for c9 cold killer ~3.2 + peace sign ushanka ~1.1 = ~4.3*0.9 = ~3.9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24061513 - 31 keys pure = ~2.5 at time (tons of relists) ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076120051?time=1418112000 )
Last sale is quite iffy, might have sold some of those keys due to the gap in history, so not including it in the range
Peace sign ushanka:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24573174 - B/O at 1.1, must be a sale on SCM
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24657287 - QS at 1
Taking 1.1
The C9 Cold Killer was valued at 4 buds at the time. New to unusual voting, not sure if that makes a difference.
Its price was outdated, so I updated it first. The price of unusual, used in pricing must be up-to-date due to the rules.