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My 1st Counter
credit to Regi524 for the 7 ref seller
Buyers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24606303 5.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24103900 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24579281 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24741924 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24751840 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24760131 5 ref
8 Ref Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24674134
Seller/sold at 7 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24768605
offered 6 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24757584
Didn't sell to the offerer http://backpack.tf/item/1159075415
Don't think 5 ref should be in range. Lot's of buyers and offers for 5 ref. As for 6 ref offer, it didn't sell to the one who offer and it's unknown what it sold for. Going to leave it out of the range.
Many concerns in the other suggestion about 1 key being an outlier. SCM sales strongly support this concern. Accepting.