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First effect of this hat priced!
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24556724 Sold for 53 keys pure + V. Bill's + Level 1 Max + 22.5 keys in Pool Parties
B/O for Pilot was 7
Has had offers around 7-6 mark, making Sale 2 an outlier
X = 3.8 + 1.4*0.9 + 3 + 1.6*0.9
X = 9.5
X = 7 (B/O)
Pilot http://backpack.tf/item/3340666055
Everything After that Gifted Max Head http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035077222?time=1421598331#page0
Sale 2 OUTLIER DUE TO OFFERS
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23857864 Sold for Amaranthine Billycock
B/O for Billy was 4
Pilot had no trade, presuming offered
X = 3
Billy http://backpack.tf/item/3133279314
Pilot http://backpack.tf/item/3340666055
it seems like new hats with fetti effects sell for stupid high amounts and never sell for that again, the frickin sweet ninja hood is a good example of that
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54c36233b88d8894618b5542
That too. It's always fetti, or peace. Like that heavy Elf hat, it'll never sell for 6 again.
Fetti collectors will be fetti collectors :P