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http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081270429?time=1422172800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081270429?time=1422345600
11 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23994211
DBD Janissary
13 keys
Have you applied overpay for 2nd sale?
no !11!!!11
because it was an item, you would need to compensate for item overpay by multiplying by 0.9
13* 0.9 = 11.7 rounds to 12 keys
i was being sarcastic
Which was clearly evident in your comment :|
added some flare
po(po)e's law
What about these sales from the other suggrstion?
http://postimg.org/image/68pyd0miz/ - 15 keys
http://postimg.org/image/93he3xk2z/ - 20 keys
20key sale is too old
The first sale is not a D.P. Birdcage.
Fixing
Sale 1 was actually a trade for a stormy robo billy that was quicksold for 11 keys. Both the trades happened within a day. I would go with a range of 13-15 based on the 15 key pure sale in the other suggestion.